Statistics Span First Quarter of 2005 through Fourth Quarter of 2013 and Annual Results for 2013
The Bureau of Economic Analysis released today – for the first time – gross domestic product (GDP) by industry for 22 industry sectors on a quarterly basis. These new statistics fill an important gap in U.S. federal economic statistics by providing timely information on how individual industries contributed to U.S. economic growth in a given quarter. These new data also provide businesses with a comprehensive and consistent tool for assessing how their industries are faring compared to other industries. Policymakers, businesses, and academia will be able to use the statistics to quickly identify economic turning points, improving their ability to understand a given sector’s performance.
Quarterly GDP by industry statistics supplement other quarterly and monthly indicators of industries’ performance—such as employment, sales and shipments, profits, and prices—by providing a comprehensive and consistent picture of industries’ overall performance, allowing for a more complete analysis of business cycle dynamics and the sources of U.S. economic growth. These new statistics, which also include measures of gross output and of intermediate inputs by industry, are prepared within an integrated framework and are consistent with GDP and the final expenditure components published in BEA’s national income and product accounts. Quarterly GDP by industry statistics will be made available approximately 30 days after the release of the third estimate of GDP.
Fourth Quarter 2013 GDP by industry
Real GDP increased 2.6 percent in the fourth quarter of 2013, with both the private goods- and services-producing sectors contributing to the increase. Overall, 15 out of 22 industry groups contributed to economic growth. The leading contributors to the increase were nondurable-goods manufacturing; professional, scientific and technical services; and wholesale trade.
- Nondurable-goods manufacturing real value added—a measure of an industry’s contribution to GDP—increased almost 19 percent in the fourth quarter after increasing 2.9 percent in the third quarter.
- Professional, scientific, and technical services increased 5.9 percent after increasing 8.3 percent in the third quarter.
- Wholesale trade increased 6.9 percent after increasing 7.3 percent in the third quarter.
Growth in real GDP in the fourth quarter decelerated from 4.1 percent in the third to 2.6 percent in the fourth. The deceleration reflected a slowdown in the private services-producing sector and a larger decrease in the government sector that was partly offset by a pickup in growth in the goods-producing sector. Overall, 17 out of 22 industry groups contributed to the slowdown in real GDP growth; the leading contributors to the slowdown were real estate, rental, and leasing; construction; and retail trade.
2013 GDP by industry
Real GDP increased 1.9 percent in 2013 (that is, from the 2012 annual level to the 2013 annual level). Growth was widespread, with 19 of 22 industry groups contributing to the increase. Nondurable-goods manufacturing; real estate and rental and leasing; agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting; and health care and social assistance were the leading contributors to the economic growth.
- Manufacturing real value added rose 3.1 percent in 2013, after increasing 1.9 percent in 2012. Nondurable-goods manufacturing, the largest contributor to overall growth in the economy turned up, increasing 5.3 percent in 2013 after decreasing two consecutive years.
- The real estate and rental and leasing group increased 1.6 percent, marking the fourth consecutive increase for both real value added and real gross output.
- Agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting surged in 2013, increasing 16.4 percent after increasing 0.3 percent. The strong growth in 2013 reflects a weak 2012 that was affected by a severe Midwest drought.
Real GDP growth decelerated 0.9 percentage point in 2013, increasing 1.9 percent after increasing 2.8 percent. Mining, durable-goods manufacturing, and professional, scientific, and technical services were the leading contributors to the deceleration.
During 2013 (that is, measured from the fourth quarter of 2012 to the fourth quarter of 2013), real GDP increased 2.6 percent, after increasing 2.0 percent during 2012. Changes from fourth quarter to fourth quarter provide a picture of momentum in the economy during the year. Real value added for the private goods-producing sector increased 6.3 percent, compared with an increase of 0.6 percent during 2012. The private services-producing sector increased 2.4 percent during both 2012 and 2013. The government sector decreased 1.5 percent during 2013, compared with a decrease of 0.2 percent during 2012.
NOTE. Quarterly estimates are expressed at seasonally adjusted annual rates, unless otherwise specified.
* * *
Next release -- July 25, 2014 at 8:30 EDT for Gross Domestic Product by Industry: First Quarter 2014
BEA also publishes annual industry accounts that cover 69 industries. On January 23, 2014, BEA released the results of the 2014 comprehensive revision of the IEAs that covered the years 1997-2012.