EMBARGOED UNTIL RELEASE AT 8:30 A.M. EDT, Monday, May 1, 2017
* See the navigation bar at the right side of the news release text for links to data tables,
contact personnel and their telephone numbers, and supplementary materials.
|Technical:||James Rankin||(301) 278-9087||(Personal Income)||email@example.com|
|Harvey Davis||(301) 278-9086||(PCE)||firstname.lastname@example.org|
|Media:||Jeannine Aversa||(301) email@example.com|
PERSONAL INCOME AND OUTLAYS, MARCH 2017
Personal income increased $40.0 billion (0.2 percent) in March according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $35.0 billion (0.2 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $5.7 billion (less than 0.1 percent). Real DPI increased 0.5 percent in March and Real PCE increased 0.3 percent. The PCE price index decreased 0.2 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index decreased 0.1 percent. 2016 2017 Nov. Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Percent change from preceding month Personal income: Current dollars 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 Disposable personal income: Current dollars 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 Chained (2009) dollars 0.1 0.1 -0.1 0.2 0.5 Personal consumption expenditures (PCE): Current dollars 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Chained (2009) dollars 0.2 0.4 -0.3 -0.1 0.3 Price indexes: PCE 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 -0.2 PCE, excluding food and energy 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 -0.1 Price indexes: Percent change from month one year ago PCE 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.1 1.8 PCE, excluding food and energy 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.6 The increase in personal income in March primarily reflected increases in government social benefits to persons, nonfarm proprietors’ income, and compensation of employees (table 3). The increase in real PCE in March was more than accounted for by an increase in spending for services, notably spending for household utilities. This increase was partially offset by a decrease in spending for durable goods, which was more than accounted for by a decrease in motor vehicles and parts. Personal outlays increased $4.9 billion in March (table 3). Personal saving was $849.1 billion in March and the personal saving rate, personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income, was 5.9 percent (table 1). Updates Estimates have been updated for January and February. The percent change from the preceding month for current-dollar personal income, and for current-dollar and chained (2009) dollar DPI and PCE -- revised and previously published -- are shown below. Change from preceding month January February Previous Revised Previous Revised Previous Revised Previous Revised (Billions of dollars) (Percent) (Billions of dollars) (Percent) Personal income: Current dollars 74.5 70.8 0.5 0.4 57.7 55.7 0.4 0.3 Disposable personal income: Current dollars 50.2 44.5 0.4 0.3 44.6 41.4 0.3 0.3 Chained (2009) dollars -9.0 -17.4 -0.1 -0.1 23.0 21.8 0.2 0.2 Personal consumption expenditures: Current dollars 27.4 24.9 0.2 0.2 7.4 -2.4 0.1 0.0 Chained (2009) dollars -24.6 -30.0 -0.2 -0.3 -8.7 -15.9 -0.1 -0.1 BOX.________________________ Upcoming Annual Update of the National Income and Product Accounts As part of the annual update of the national income and product accounts (NIPAs), revised estimates of personal income and outlays will be released in conjunction with initial estimates for June 2017 on August 1, 2017. This regular update of the accounts will cover the most recent 3 years and the first 5 months of 2017. For more information, see the GDP Technical Note. ____________________________ Next release: May 30, 2017 at 8:30 A.M. EDT Personal Income and Outlays: April 2017 Additional Information Resources Additional Resources available at www.bea.gov: • Stay informed about BEA developments by reading the BEA blog, signing up for BEA’s email subscription service, or following BEA on Twitter @BEA_News. • Historical time series for these estimates can be accessed in BEA’s Interactive Data Application. • Access BEA data by registering for BEA’s Data Application Programming Interface (API). • For more on BEA’s statistics, see our monthly online journal, the Survey of Current Business. • BEA's news release schedule • NIPA Handbook: Concepts and Methods of the U.S. National Income and Product Accounts Definitions Personal income is the income received by, or on behalf of, all persons from all sources: from participation as laborers in production, from owning a home or business, from the ownership of financial assets, and from government and business in the form of transfers. It includes income from domestic sources as well as the rest of world. It does not include realized or unrealized capital gains or losses. Disposable personal income is the income available to persons for spending or saving. It is equal to personal income less personal current taxes. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is the value of the goods and services purchased by, or on the behalf of, “persons” who reside in the United States. Personal outlays is the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments. Personal saving is personal income less personal outlays and personal current taxes. The personal saving rate is personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income. Current-dollar estimates are valued in the prices of the period when the transactions occurred—that is, at “market value.” Also referred to as “nominal estimates” or as “current-price estimates.” Real values are inflation-adjusted estimates—that is, estimates that exclude the effects of price changes. For more definitions, see the Glossary: National Income and Product Accounts. Statistical conventions Annual rates. Monthly and quarterly values are expressed at seasonally-adjusted annual rates (SAAR). Dollar changes are calculated as the difference between these SAAR values. For detail, see the FAQ “Why does BEA publish estimates at annual rates?” Month-to-month percent changes are calculated from unrounded data and are not annualized. Quarter-to-quarter percent changes are calculated from unrounded data and are displayed at annual rates. For detail, see the FAQ “How is average annual growth calculated?” Quantities and prices. Quantities, or “real” volume measures, and prices are expressed as index numbers with a specified reference year equal to 100 (currently 2009). Quantity and price indexes are calculated using a Fisher-chained weighted formula that incorporates weights from two adjacent periods (quarters for quarterly data and annuals for annual data). “Real” dollar series are calculated by multiplying the published quantity index by the current dollar value in the reference year (2009) and then dividing by 100. Percent changes calculated from real quantity indexes and chained-dollar levels are conceptually the same; any differences are due to rounding. Chained-dollar values are not additive because the relative weights for a given period differ from those of the reference year.