Table 1.—Reliability of Current Estimates of Quarterly Changes in Real GDP, 1978-91

[Percentages providing correct indication]

All quarters Omitting quarters with changes/differences of 1 percent or less
Direction of change Larger/smaller change than in previous quarters Change between +1 percent and +4 percent Direction of change Larger/smaller change than in previous quarters
(56) (55) (56) (48) (43)
Advance8878759286
Preliminary8975709481
Final8976669484

NOTE.—The number of comparisons is shown in parentheses.