EMBARGOED UNTIL RELEASE AT 8:30 A.M. EST, THURSDAY, MARCH 1, 2018 BEA 18-09 Technical: Brian Smith (Personal Income) (301)278-9625 piniwd@bea.gov Harvey Davis (PCE) (301)278-9086 pce@bea.gov Mark Ludwick (Taxes and Government) (301)278-9090 Mark.Ludwick@bea.gov Media: Jeannine Aversa (301) 278-9003 Jeannine.Aversa@bea.gov Personal Income and Outlays: January 2018 Personal income increased $64.7 billion (0.4 percent) in January according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $134.8 billion (0.9 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $31.2 billion (0.2 percent). Real DPI increased 0.6 percent in January and Real PCE decreased 0.1 percent. The PCE price index increased 0.4 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 0.3 percent. 2017 2018 Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jan. Percent change from preceding month Personal income: Current dollars 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 Disposable personal income: Current dollars 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.9 Chained (2009) dollars 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 Personal consumption expenditures (PCE): Current dollars 1.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 Chained (2009) dollars 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.2 -0.1 Price indexes: PCE 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 PCE, excluding food and energy 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 Price indexes: Percent change from month one year ago PCE 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 PCE, excluding food and energy 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 BOX.______________________________________________ Quarterly Census of Employment and Wage Data Included in the Third Quarter of 2017 This news release includes revised estimates of wages and salaries, personal taxes, and contributions for government social insurance for July through September 2017 (third quarter). These estimates reflect the incorporation of the most recently available third-quarter wage and salary tabulations from the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) program. __________________________________________________ BOX.______________________________________________ Impacts of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act Increases in the January estimates of disposable personal income and the personal saving rate mostly result from a decrease in personal current taxes, which reflect the effects of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). BEA estimates that the TCJA reduced personal current taxes by $115.5 billion at an annual rate. BEA’s preliminary estimates of the effects of the TCJA are based in part on projections prepared by the Treasury Department’s Office of Tax Analysis. For more information on the TCJA’s effects on personal taxes, please see “How will the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act impact personal taxes?” January estimates of wages and salaries were adjusted up by $30.0 billion to account for bonuses paid by businesses that are not included in the monthly source data in the Current Employment Statistics from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This adjustment reflects one-time bonuses reported publicly in response to the TCJA and was derived based on news releases covering estimates of the number of employees receiving bonuses and payment amounts. BEA will release QCEW-based estimates of wages and salaries, that will include both regular and TCJA-related bonus activity, for the first quarter of 2018 on July 27, 2018. __________________________________________________ The increase in personal income in January primarily reflected increases in wages and salaries and Social Security benefits that were partially offset by an increase in contributions for government social insurance, a subtraction in the calculation of personal income (table 3). The $17.0 billion decrease in real PCE in January reflected a decrease of $24.6 billion in spending for goods and a partially offsetting $4.8 billion increase in spending for services (table 7). Within goods, new motor vehicle sales was the leading contributor to the decrease. Detailed information on monthly real PCE spending can be found in Table 2.3.6U. Personal outlays increased $33.7 billion in January (table 3). Personal saving was $464.4 billion in January and the personal saving rate, personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income, was 3.2 percent (table 1). 2017 Personal Income and Outlays Personal income (table 6) increased 3.1 percent in 2017 (that is, from the 2016 annual level to the 2017 annual level), compared with an increase of 2.4 percent in 2016. DPI increased 2.9 percent in 2017 compared with an increase of 2.6 percent in 2016. In 2017, PCE increased 4.5 percent, compared with an increase of 4.0 percent in 2016. Real DPI increased 1.2 percent in 2017, compared with an increase of 1.4 percent in 2016. Real PCE (table 8) increased 2.7 percent, the same increase as in 2016. Updates to Personal Income and Outlays Estimates have been updated for July through December. The percent change from the preceding month for current-dollar personal income, and for current-dollar and chained (2009) dollar DPI and PCE -- revised and as published in last month's release -- are shown below. Change from preceding month November December Previous Revised Previous Revised Previous Revised Previous Revised (Billions of dollars) (Percent) (Billions of dollars) (Percent) Personal income: Current dollars 50.4 56.1 0.3 0.3 58.7 63.2 0.4 0.4 Disposable personal income: Current dollars 37.6 39.9 0.3 0.3 48.0 52.2 0.3 0.4 Chained (2009) dollars 2.6 8.8 0.0 0.1 28.1 27.4 0.2 0.2 Personal consumption expenditures: Current dollars 101.9 92.0 0.8 0.7 54.2 53.1 0.4 0.4 Chained (2009) dollars 61.1 56.4 0.5 0.5 34.4 29.3 0.3 0.2 Next release: March 29, 2018 at 8:30 A.M. EDT Personal Income and Outlays: February 2018 Additional Information Resources Additional Resources available at www.bea.gov: • Stay informed about BEA developments by reading the BEA blog, signing up for BEA’s email subscription service, or following BEA on Twitter @BEA_News. • Historical time series for these estimates can be accessed in BEA’s Interactive Data Application. • Access BEA data by registering for BEA’s Data Application Programming Interface (API). • For more on BEA’s statistics, see our monthly online journal, the Survey of Current Business. • BEA's news release schedule • NIPA Handbook: Concepts and Methods of the U.S. National Income and Product Accounts Definitions Personal income is the income received by, or on behalf of, all persons from all sources: from participation as laborers in production, from owning a home or business, from the ownership of financial assets, and from government and business in the form of transfers. It includes income from domestic sources as well as the rest of world. It does not include realized or unrealized capital gains or losses. Disposable personal income is the income available to persons for spending or saving. It is equal to personal income less personal current taxes. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is the value of the goods and services purchased by, or on the behalf of, “persons” who reside in the United States. Personal outlays is the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments. Personal saving is personal income less personal outlays and personal current taxes. The personal saving rate is personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income. Current-dollar estimates are valued in the prices of the period when the transactions occurred—that is, at “market value.” Also referred to as “nominal estimates” or as “current-price estimates.” Real values are inflation-adjusted estimates—that is, estimates that exclude the effects of price changes. For more definitions, see the Glossary: National Income and Product Accounts. Statistical conventions Annual rates. Monthly and quarterly values are expressed at seasonally-adjusted annual rates (SAAR). Dollar changes are calculated as the difference between these SAAR values. For detail, see the FAQ “Why does BEA publish estimates at annual rates?” Month-to-month percent changes are calculated from unrounded data and are not annualized. Quarter-to-quarter percent changes are calculated from unrounded data and are displayed at annual rates. For detail, see the FAQ “How is average annual growth calculated?” Quantities and prices. Quantities, or “real” volume measures, and prices are expressed as index numbers with a specified reference year equal to 100 (currently 2009). Quantity and price indexes are calculated using a Fisher-chained weighted formula that incorporates weights from two adjacent periods (quarters for quarterly data and annuals for annual data). “Real” dollar series are calculated by multiplying the published quantity index by the current dollar value in the reference year (2009) and then dividing by 100. Percent changes calculated from real quantity indexes and chained-dollar levels are conceptually the same; any differences are due to rounding. Chained-dollar values are not additive because the relative weights for a given period differ from those of the reference year. List of Personal Income and Outlays News Release Tables Table 1. Personal Income and Its Disposition (Months) Table 2. Personal Income and Its Disposition (Years and Quarters) Table 3. Personal Income and Its Disposition, Change From Preceding Period (Months) Table 4. Personal Income and Its Disposition, Change From Preceding Period (Years and Quarters) Table 5. Personal Income and Its Disposition, Percent Change From Preceding Period (Months) Table 6. Personal Income and Its Disposition, Percent Change From Preceding Period (Years and Quarters) Table 7. Real Personal Consumption Expenditures by Major Type of Product (Months) Table 8. Real Personal Consumption Expenditures by Major Type of Product (Years and Quarters) Table 9. Price Indexes for Personal Consumption Expenditures: Level and Percent Change From Preceding Period (Months) Table 10. Real Disposable Personal Income and Real Personal Consumption Expenditures: Percent Change From Month One Year Ago Table 11. Price Indexes for Personal Consumption Expenditures: Percent Change From Month One Year Ago Table 1. Personal Income and Its Disposition (Months) [Billions of dollars] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------Seasonally adjusted at annual rates------------------------- -----------------------------------2017----------------------------------- 2018 June July\r\ Aug.\r\ Sept.\r\ Oct.\r\ Nov.\r\ Dec.\r\ Jan.\p\ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal income........................... 16,350.6 16,412.9 16,458.2 16,535.6 16,599.6 16,655.7 16,718.9 16,783.6 Compensation of employees............... 10,266.2 10,326.1 10,348.6 10,393.6 10,413.5 10,464.6 10,507.4 10,559.3 Wages and salaries.................... 8,313.9 8,367.4 8,385.5 8,424.9 8,441.3 8,486.5 8,523.8 8,569.0 Private industries.................. 6,974.0 7,025.9 7,040.2 7,076.1 7,091.6 7,134.4 7,168.2 7,205.0 Goods-producing industries........ 1,365.1 1,374.0 1,372.8 1,382.6 1,383.9 1,392.8 1,395.2 1,406.6 Manufacturing................... 829.1 834.7 832.9 837.0 839.6 841.8 840.9 847.8 Services-producing industries..... 5,608.9 5,652.0 5,667.4 5,693.5 5,707.7 5,741.6 5,773.0 5,798.4 Trade, transportation, and utilities...................... 1,296.9 1,305.7 1,305.4 1,312.2 1,313.1 1,325.7 1,330.0 1,333.7 Other services-producing industries..................... 4,311.9 4,346.3 4,362.0 4,381.3 4,394.6 4,415.9 4,443.0 4,464.7 Government.......................... 1,339.9 1,341.4 1,345.3 1,348.7 1,349.6 1,352.1 1,355.6 1,364.0 Supplements to wages and salaries..... 1,952.3 1,958.8 1,963.1 1,968.7 1,972.2 1,978.1 1,983.7 1,990.4 Employer contributions for employee pension and insurance funds\1\..... 1,344.8 1,347.4 1,350.5 1,353.4 1,355.6 1,358.2 1,361.1 1,364.0 Employer contributions for government social insurance........ 607.5 611.4 612.6 615.4 616.6 619.9 622.6 626.4 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................ 1,379.8 1,375.8 1,380.7 1,389.2 1,394.0 1,406.9 1,404.6 1,406.9 Farm.................................. 32.7 32.3 31.9 31.5 30.1 28.7 27.3 28.7 Nonfarm............................... 1,347.0 1,343.5 1,348.7 1,357.7 1,363.8 1,378.2 1,377.3 1,378.2 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment................. 744.1 744.0 746.4 751.1 756.4 760.4 763.8 768.0 Personal income receipts on assets...... 2,416.7 2,426.2 2,432.7 2,442.7 2,463.2 2,476.0 2,493.7 2,484.7 Personal interest income.............. 1,451.9 1,456.2 1,460.6 1,465.0 1,484.1 1,503.2 1,522.4 1,516.9 Personal dividend income.............. 964.9 970.0 972.1 977.7 979.1 972.7 971.3 967.8 Personal current transfer receipts...... 2,840.5 2,845.4 2,857.4 2,872.2 2,888.8 2,870.9 2,878.0 2,914.2 Government social benefits to persons.............................. 2,781.1 2,785.8 2,797.5 2,812.1 2,828.4 2,810.2 2,817.1 2,852.8 Social security\2\.................. 925.2 928.4 929.2 932.3 939.0 931.5 935.7 959.4 Medicare\3\......................... 673.0 674.6 676.4 678.3 680.1 681.9 683.8 684.2 Medicaid............................ 577.3 579.7 583.0 587.3 591.8 595.5 599.1 602.1 Unemployment insurance.............. 28.6 28.8 28.5 28.2 27.6 27.9 27.9 28.2 Veterans' benefits.................. 99.3 98.4 98.6 100.7 98.9 101.1 100.5 103.4 Other............................... 477.7 475.8 481.8 485.3 491.0 472.3 470.3 475.3 Other current transfer receipts, from business (net)....................... 59.4 59.6 59.9 60.1 60.4 60.7 60.9 61.4 Less: Contributions for government social insurance, domestic............. 1,296.8 1,304.6 1,307.5 1,313.3 1,316.3 1,323.0 1,328.6 1,349.5 Less: Personal current taxes.............. 2,003.8 2,037.8 2,059.0 2,077.5 2,095.8 2,112.0 2,123.0 2,052.9 Equals: Disposable personal income........ 14,346.8 14,375.1 14,399.2 14,458.1 14,503.8 14,543.7 14,596.0 14,730.8 Less: Personal outlays.................... 13,835.2 13,869.7 13,890.9 14,020.9 14,072.6 14,172.1 14,232.7 14,266.4 Personal consumption expenditures....... 13,329.1 13,369.0 13,392.8 13,525.5 13,566.9 13,658.9 13,711.9 13,743.1 Goods................................. 4,238.9 4,267.9 4,273.0 4,363.4 4,366.7 4,416.5 4,414.1 4,419.0 Durable goods....................... 1,458.5 1,475.5 1,454.9 1,502.4 1,508.4 1,519.6 1,527.5 1,504.3 Nondurable goods.................... 2,780.4 2,792.4 2,818.0 2,861.0 2,858.3 2,897.0 2,886.6 2,914.7 Services.............................. 9,090.2 9,101.1 9,119.9 9,162.1 9,200.2 9,242.3 9,297.8 9,324.2 Personal interest payments\4\........... 307.4 304.4 301.3 298.2 305.5 312.7 319.9 322.5 Personal current transfer payments...... 198.7 196.3 196.7 197.1 200.3 200.6 200.8 200.8 To government......................... 114.6 115.1 115.5 115.9 116.2 116.5 116.8 116.8 To the rest of the world (net)........ 84.1 81.2 81.2 81.2 84.1 84.1 84.1 84.1 Equals: Personal saving................... 511.5 505.4 508.3 437.2 431.2 371.6 363.2 464.4 Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income............. 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 2.6 2.5 3.2 Addenda: Personal income excluding current transfer receipts, billions of chained (2009) dollars\5\...................... 12,032.8 12,072.5 12,076.5 12,084.0 12,107.6 12,147.9 12,179.7 12,160.0 Disposable personal income: Total, billions of chained (2009) dollars\5\........................... 12,778.1 12,791.1 12,785.4 12,786.9 12,807.9 12,816.7 12,844.1 12,915.1 Per capita: Current dollars..................... 44,031 44,088 44,132 44,282 44,393 44,489 44,623 45,012 Chained (2009) dollars.............. 39,216 39,230 39,186 39,163 39,202 39,206 39,267 39,464 Population (midperiod, thousands)\6\.... 325,836 326,051 326,275 326,500 326,714 326,909 327,097 327,265 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- p Preliminary r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the incorporation of revised wage and salary estimates for the third quarter of 2017. 1. Includes actual employer contributions and actuarially imputed employer contributions to reflect benefits accrued by defined benefit pension plan participants through service to employers in the current period. 2. Social security benefits include old-age, survivors, and disability insurance benefits that are distributed from the federal old-age and survivors insurance trust fund and the disability insurance trust fund. 3. Medicare benefits include hospital and supplementary medical insurance benefits that are distributed from the federal hospital insurance trust fund and the supplementary medical insurance trust fund. 4. Consists of nonmortgage interest paid by households. 5. The current-dollar measure is deflated by the implicit price deflator for personal consumption expenditures. 6. Population is the total population of the United States, including the Armed Forces overseas and the institutionalized population. The monthly estimate is the average of estimates for the first of the month and the first of the following month; the annual and quarterly estimates are averages of the monthly estimates. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis Table 2. Personal Income and Its Disposition (Years and Quarters) [Billions of dollars] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2016 2017\r\ --------------Seasonally adjusted at annual rates-------------- --------2016-------- -------------------2017------------------- Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3\r\ Q4\r\ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal income........................... 15,928.7 16,428.0 16,028.0 16,025.7 16,245.2 16,339.6 16,468.9 16,658.1 Compensation of employees............... 9,978.6 10,306.8 10,081.4 10,014.9 10,166.3 10,243.0 10,356.1 10,461.8 Wages and salaries.................... 8,085.2 8,350.9 8,178.1 8,107.8 8,232.1 8,295.2 8,392.6 8,483.8 Private industries.................. 6,777.8 7,009.7 6,863.4 6,792.7 6,901.6 6,958.4 7,047.4 7,131.4 Goods-producing industries........ 1,331.2 1,369.4 1,345.2 1,329.8 1,350.5 1,359.8 1,376.4 1,390.7 Manufacturing................... 814.4 832.3 824.8 811.7 824.5 829.1 834.9 840.8 Services-producing industries..... 5,446.5 5,640.3 5,518.3 5,462.9 5,551.1 5,598.6 5,671.0 5,740.7 Trade, transportation, and utilities...................... 1,265.0 1,303.7 1,277.7 1,262.9 1,288.5 1,295.6 1,307.8 1,322.9 Other services-producing industries..................... 4,181.5 4,336.6 4,240.6 4,200.0 4,262.6 4,303.0 4,363.2 4,417.8 Government.......................... 1,307.5 1,341.2 1,314.6 1,315.2 1,330.5 1,336.8 1,345.1 1,352.4 Supplements to wages and salaries..... 1,893.4 1,955.9 1,903.4 1,907.1 1,934.2 1,947.9 1,963.5 1,978.0 Employer contributions for employee pension and insurance funds\1\..... 1,309.8 1,345.8 1,313.3 1,321.7 1,332.7 1,341.7 1,350.4 1,358.3 Employer contributions for government social insurance........ 583.6 610.1 590.1 585.4 601.6 606.1 613.1 619.7 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................ 1,341.9 1,385.6 1,346.1 1,354.6 1,380.2 1,378.6 1,381.9 1,401.8 Farm.................................. 43.2 34.9 41.4 37.8 41.9 37.0 31.9 28.7 Nonfarm............................... 1,298.7 1,350.8 1,304.6 1,316.7 1,338.4 1,341.6 1,350.0 1,373.1 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment................. 707.3 744.6 708.1 718.9 730.8 740.3 747.2 760.2 Personal income receipts on assets...... 2,377.8 2,441.5 2,373.2 2,391.6 2,420.1 2,434.5 2,433.9 2,477.6 Personal interest income.............. 1,415.3 1,476.4 1,416.9 1,438.5 1,476.6 1,465.1 1,460.6 1,503.2 Personal dividend income.............. 962.5 965.1 956.4 953.0 943.5 969.4 973.2 974.4 Personal current transfer receipts...... 2,768.4 2,851.6 2,777.4 2,795.9 2,831.9 2,836.9 2,858.4 2,879.2 Government social benefits to persons.............................. 2,711.0 2,792.1 2,719.7 2,737.9 2,773.4 2,777.8 2,798.5 2,818.6 Social security\2\.................. 896.5 926.1 899.7 906.0 916.1 922.8 930.0 935.4 Medicare\3\......................... 655.9 674.3 658.2 662.9 667.4 671.5 676.4 681.9 Medicaid............................ 563.0 584.4 566.8 577.8 581.4 577.4 583.4 595.4 Unemployment insurance.............. 31.7 28.8 31.6 30.7 30.2 28.6 28.5 27.8 Veterans' benefits.................. 92.8 98.2 92.9 94.0 95.5 98.0 99.2 100.2 Other............................... 471.1 480.3 470.4 466.5 482.8 479.4 481.0 477.9 Other current transfer receipts, from business (net)....................... 57.4 59.5 57.8 58.0 58.4 59.2 59.9 60.7 Less: Contributions for government social insurance, domestic............. 1,245.3 1,302.3 1,258.2 1,250.2 1,284.1 1,293.8 1,308.5 1,322.6 Less: Personal current taxes.............. 1,960.1 2,048.8 1,983.8 1,977.2 2,018.8 2,007.9 2,058.1 2,110.3 Equals: Disposable personal income........ 13,968.6 14,379.2 14,044.3 14,048.5 14,226.4 14,331.6 14,410.8 14,547.8 Less: Personal outlays.................... 13,288.0 13,891.0 13,366.6 13,537.0 13,671.8 13,805.9 13,927.2 14,159.2 Personal consumption expenditures....... 12,820.7 13,393.4 12,899.4 13,056.9 13,191.6 13,307.0 13,429.1 13,645.9 Goods................................. 4,121.4 4,294.6 4,134.4 4,195.9 4,230.8 4,247.2 4,301.4 4,399.1 Durable goods....................... 1,411.0 1,474.0 1,420.2 1,440.2 1,443.2 1,456.6 1,477.6 1,518.5 Nondurable goods.................... 2,710.4 2,820.7 2,714.2 2,755.7 2,787.6 2,790.6 2,823.8 2,880.6 Services.............................. 8,699.3 9,098.8 8,765.0 8,861.0 8,960.7 9,059.8 9,127.7 9,246.8 Personal interest payments\4\........... 278.4 300.5 279.3 284.4 287.4 300.7 301.3 312.7 Personal current transfer payments...... 189.0 197.1 187.9 195.6 192.9 198.2 196.7 200.6 To government......................... 108.9 114.6 109.0 110.6 112.3 114.1 115.5 116.5 To the rest of the world (net)........ 80.1 82.5 78.9 85.0 80.6 84.1 81.2 84.1 Equals: Personal saving................... 680.6 488.2 677.7 511.5 554.6 525.7 483.7 388.7 Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income............. 4.9 3.4 4.8 3.6 3.9 3.7 3.4 2.7 Addenda: Personal income excluding current transfer receipts, billions of chained (2009) dollars\5\...................... 11,878.7 12,051.3 11,934.4 11,857.1 11,955.7 12,027.2 12,077.6 12,145.1 Disposable personal income: Total, billions of chained (2009) dollars\5\........................... 12,608.2 12,763.9 12,649.2 12,590.8 12,680.4 12,765.6 12,787.7 12,822.9 Per capita: Current dollars..................... 43,157 44,110 43,352 43,280 43,759 44,011 44,168 44,501 Chained (2009) dollars.............. 38,954 39,155 39,045 38,790 39,004 39,202 39,193 39,225 Population (midperiod, thousands)\6\.... 323,668 325,983 323,962 324,593 325,108 325,640 326,276 326,907 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the incorporation of revised wage and salary estimates for the third quarter of 2017. 1. Includes actual employer contributions and actuarially imputed employer contributions to reflect benefits accrued by defined benefit pension plan participants through service to employers in the current period. 2. Social security benefits include old-age, survivors, and disability insurance benefits that are distributed from the federal old-age and survivors insurance trust fund and the disability insurance trust fund. 3. Medicare benefits include hospital and supplementary medical insurance benefits that are distributed from the federal hospital insurance trust fund and the supplementary medical insurance trust fund. 4. Consists of nonmortgage interest paid by households. 5. The current-dollar measure is deflated by the implicit price deflator for personal consumption expenditures. 6. Population is the total population of the United States, including the Armed Forces overseas and the institutionalized population. The monthly estimate is the average of estimates for the first of the month and the first of the following month; the annual and quarterly estimates are averages of the monthly estimates. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis Table 3. Personal Income and Its Disposition, Change From Preceding Period (Months) [Billions of dollars] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------Seasonally adjusted at annual rates------------------------- -----------------------------------2017----------------------------------- 2018 June July\r\ Aug.\r\ Sept.\r\ Oct.\r\ Nov.\r\ Dec.\r\ Jan.\p\ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal income........................... -3.2 62.4 45.3 77.4 64.0 56.1 63.2 64.7 Compensation of employees............... 35.4 60.0 22.5 45.0 19.9 51.1 42.8 51.9 Wages and salaries.................... 30.1 53.5 18.1 39.4 16.4 45.2 37.3 45.2 Private industries.................. 26.3 51.9 14.2 36.0 15.5 42.8 33.8 36.8 Goods-producing industries........ 7.2 8.8 -1.2 9.9 1.3 8.9 2.4 11.4 Manufacturing................... 2.3 5.6 -1.8 4.1 2.7 2.2 -1.0 7.0 Services-producing industries..... 19.1 43.1 15.4 26.1 14.2 33.9 31.4 25.4 Trade, transportation, and utilities...................... 4.1 8.8 -0.3 6.8 0.9 12.6 4.3 3.7 Other services-producing industries..................... 15.0 34.3 15.7 19.3 13.3 21.3 27.1 21.7 Government.......................... 3.8 1.5 3.9 3.4 0.9 2.4 3.5 8.4 Supplements to wages and salaries..... 5.3 6.5 4.3 5.6 3.5 5.9 5.5 6.7 Employer contributions for employee pension and insurance funds\1\..... 3.2 2.6 3.1 2.9 2.2 2.6 2.9 2.9 Employer contributions for government social insurance........ 2.1 3.9 1.3 2.7 1.3 3.3 2.6 3.8 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................ -0.6 -3.9 4.8 8.6 4.7 12.9 -2.3 2.3 Farm.................................. -4.3 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 -1.4 -1.4 -1.4 1.4 Nonfarm............................... 3.7 -3.5 5.2 9.0 6.1 14.3 -0.8 0.9 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment................. 4.5 -0.2 2.5 4.7 5.3 4.0 3.4 4.2 Personal income receipts on assets...... -43.1 9.5 6.5 10.0 20.5 12.8 17.7 -9.0 Personal interest income.............. -13.2 4.4 4.4 4.4 19.1 19.1 19.1 -5.4 Personal dividend income.............. -29.9 5.1 2.1 5.7 1.3 -6.3 -1.4 -3.5 Personal current transfer receipts...... 5.1 4.9 12.0 14.8 16.6 -17.9 7.2 36.1 Government social benefits to persons.............................. 4.8 4.6 11.7 14.6 16.3 -18.2 6.9 35.6 Social security\2\.................. 3.6 3.2 0.8 3.1 6.7 -7.5 4.2 23.8 Medicare\3\......................... 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 0.4 Medicaid............................ 0.6 2.4 3.3 4.3 4.5 3.7 3.6 3.1 Unemployment insurance.............. 0.3 0.2 -0.3 -0.3 -0.6 0.3 0.0 0.3 Veterans' benefits.................. 1.2 -0.9 0.2 2.1 -1.8 2.2 -0.7 3.0 Other............................... -2.4 -1.9 6.0 3.5 5.7 -18.7 -2.1 5.1 Other current transfer receipts, from business (net)....................... 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 Less: Contributions for government social insurance, domestic............. 4.5 7.8 2.9 5.8 3.0 6.8 5.6 20.8 Less: Personal current taxes.............. 0.0 34.0 21.2 18.5 18.3 16.2 11.0 -70.1 Equals: Disposable personal income........ -3.2 28.3 24.1 58.9 45.7 39.9 52.2 134.8 Less: Personal outlays.................... 26.0 34.5 21.2 130.0 51.7 99.5 60.6 33.7 Personal consumption expenditures....... 18.8 39.9 23.9 132.7 41.4 92.0 53.1 31.2 Goods................................. -8.6 29.0 5.1 90.5 3.2 49.9 -2.4 4.8 Durable goods....................... 2.4 17.0 -20.6 47.5 6.0 11.2 7.9 -23.2 Nondurable goods.................... -11.0 12.0 25.7 43.0 -2.7 38.7 -10.3 28.0 Services.............................. 27.4 10.9 18.8 42.2 38.1 42.1 55.5 26.3 Personal interest payments\4\........... 6.7 -3.1 -3.1 -3.1 7.2 7.2 7.2 2.5 Personal current transfer payments...... 0.5 -2.4 0.4 0.4 3.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 To government......................... 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 To the rest of the world (net)........ 0.0 -2.9 0.0 0.0 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 Equals: Personal saving................... -29.2 -6.1 2.9 -71.1 -6.0 -59.6 -8.3 101.1 Addenda: Personal income excluding current transfer receipts, billions of chained (2009) dollars\5\...................... -12.3 39.7 4.0 7.5 23.6 40.3 31.8 -19.7 Disposable personal income, billions of chained (2009) dollars\5\.............. -8.1 13.0 -5.7 1.5 21.0 8.8 27.4 71.0 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- p Preliminary r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the incorporation of revised wage and salary estimates for the third quarter of 2017. 1. Includes actual employer contributions and actuarially imputed employer contributions to reflect benefits accrued by defined benefit pension plan participants through service to employers in the current period. 2. Social security benefits include old-age, survivors, and disability insurance benefits that are distributed from the federal old-age and survivors insurance trust fund and the disability insurance trust fund. 3. Medicare benefits include hospital and supplementary medical insurance benefits that are distributed from the federal hospital insurance trust fund and the supplementary medical insurance trust fund. 4. Consists of nonmortgage interest paid by households. 5. The current-dollar measure is deflated by the implicit price deflator for personal consumption expenditures. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis Table 4. Personal Income and Its Disposition, Change From Preceding Period (Years and Quarters) [Billions of dollars] ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2016 2017\r\ --------------Seasonally adjusted at annual rates-------------- --------2016-------- -------------------2017------------------- Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3\r\ Q4\r\ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal income........................... 375.8 499.2 117.9 -2.3 219.5 94.3 129.4 189.2 Compensation of employees............... 270.4 328.2 101.8 -66.5 151.4 76.7 113.1 105.7 Wages and salaries.................... 226.4 265.7 87.9 -70.2 124.3 63.1 97.4 91.3 Private industries.................. 194.5 232.0 78.2 -70.8 108.9 56.8 89.0 84.0 Goods-producing industries........ 22.6 38.1 12.7 -15.4 20.7 9.3 16.6 14.2 Manufacturing................... 7.6 17.9 7.4 -13.2 12.9 4.6 5.8 5.9 Services-producing industries..... 171.9 193.8 65.5 -55.4 88.2 47.5 72.4 69.8 Trade, transportation, and utilities...................... 27.7 38.7 8.3 -14.8 25.6 7.1 12.2 15.1 Other services-producing industries..................... 144.2 155.2 57.2 -40.6 62.6 40.5 60.2 54.6 Government.......................... 31.9 33.7 9.6 0.5 15.3 6.3 8.4 7.3 Supplements to wages and salaries..... 44.0 62.5 14.0 3.8 27.1 13.6 15.7 14.5 Employer contributions for employee pension and insurance funds\1\..... 31.8 36.0 7.7 8.4 10.9 9.1 8.7 7.9 Employer contributions for government social insurance........ 12.2 26.5 6.2 -4.7 16.2 4.5 7.0 6.6 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................ 23.1 43.7 6.6 8.5 25.7 -1.6 3.3 19.9 Farm.................................. -10.5 -8.3 -5.3 -3.6 4.0 -4.8 -5.1 -3.2 Nonfarm............................... 33.6 52.0 11.8 12.1 21.6 3.3 8.4 23.1 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment................. 44.8 37.3 3.3 10.8 11.9 9.5 6.9 13.0 Personal income receipts on assets...... -9.3 63.7 1.9 18.4 28.5 14.4 -0.6 43.7 Personal interest income.............. 48.0 61.1 8.4 21.7 38.1 -11.5 -4.5 42.6 Personal dividend income.............. -57.4 2.7 -6.6 -3.3 -9.6 25.9 3.9 1.1 Personal current transfer receipts...... 84.0 83.2 17.2 18.5 35.9 5.1 21.4 20.9 Government social benefits to persons.............................. 79.7 81.1 16.7 18.3 35.5 4.3 20.7 20.1 Social security\2\.................. 24.7 29.6 5.7 6.3 10.1 6.8 7.2 5.4 Medicare\3\......................... 22.2 18.5 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.1 4.9 5.5 Medicaid............................ 27.0 21.4 8.8 11.0 3.5 -4.0 6.0 12.1 Unemployment insurance.............. -0.5 -2.9 -0.3 -1.0 -0.4 -1.7 -0.1 -0.7 Veterans' benefits.................. 3.0 5.4 0.2 1.1 1.5 2.5 1.2 0.9 Other............................... 3.3 9.1 -2.4 -3.9 16.3 -3.4 1.6 -3.1 Other current transfer receipts, from business (net)....................... 4.3 2.1 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.8 Less: Contributions for government social insurance, domestic............. 37.3 56.9 12.9 -8.0 33.9 9.7 14.7 14.2 Less: Personal current taxes.............. 22.2 88.6 33.1 -6.6 41.6 -10.9 50.2 52.1 Equals: Disposable personal income........ 353.5 410.6 84.9 4.2 177.9 105.2 79.2 137.0 Less: Personal outlays.................... 501.4 603.0 152.4 170.4 134.9 134.1 121.2 232.0 Personal consumption expenditures....... 488.4 572.7 144.4 157.5 134.7 115.5 122.1 216.8 Goods................................. 88.3 173.2 25.9 61.5 34.9 16.4 54.2 97.7 Durable goods....................... 43.9 63.0 19.1 20.0 3.0 13.4 21.0 40.9 Nondurable goods.................... 44.4 110.3 6.8 41.4 32.0 3.0 33.2 56.8 Services.............................. 400.2 399.5 118.5 96.0 99.7 99.1 67.9 119.1 Personal interest payments\4\........... 9.6 22.2 3.0 5.2 3.0 13.3 0.6 11.4 Personal current transfer payments...... 3.3 8.1 5.0 7.7 -2.8 5.3 -1.5 3.8 To government......................... 3.4 5.7 1.0 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.4 1.0 To the rest of the world (net)........ -0.1 2.4 4.0 6.2 -4.4 3.5 -2.9 2.8 Equals: Personal saving................... -147.8 -192.4 -67.5 -166.1 43.0 -28.9 -42.1 -95.0 Addenda: Personal income excluding current transfer receipts, billions of chained (2009) dollars\5\...................... 124.5 172.6 39.5 -77.3 98.7 71.5 50.4 67.5 Disposable personal income, billions of chained (2009) dollars\5\.............. 172.3 155.7 22.0 -58.4 89.6 85.2 22.1 35.2 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the incorporation of revised wage and salary estimates for the third quarter of 2017. 1. Includes actual employer contributions and actuarially imputed employer contributions to reflect benefits accrued by defined benefit pension plan participants through service to employers in the current period. 2. Social security benefits include old-age, survivors, and disability insurance benefits that are distributed from the federal old-age and survivors insurance trust fund and the disability insurance trust fund. 3. Medicare benefits include hospital and supplementary medical insurance benefits that are distributed from the federal hospital insurance trust fund and the supplementary medical insurance trust fund. 4. Consists of nonmortgage interest paid by households. 5. The current-dollar measure is deflated by the implicit price deflator for personal consumption expenditures. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis Table 5. Personal Income and Its Disposition, Percent Change From Preceding Period (Months) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------------------Seasonally adjusted at monthly rates------------------------- -----------------------------------2017----------------------------------- 2018 June July\r\ Aug.\r\ Sept.\r\ Oct.\r\ Nov.\r\ Dec.\r\ Jan.\p\ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Based on current-dollar measures Personal income........................... 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 Compensation of employees............... 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.5 Wages and salaries.................... 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.5 Supplements to wages and salaries..... 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................ 0.0 -0.3 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.9 -0.2 0.2 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment................. 0.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.5 Personal income receipts on assets...... -1.8 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.7 -0.4 Personal interest income.............. -0.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 -0.4 Personal dividend income.............. -3.0 0.5 0.2 0.6 0.1 -0.6 -0.1 -0.4 Personal current transfer receipts...... 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 -0.6 0.2 1.3 Less: Contributions for government social insurance, domestic............. 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.4 1.6 Less: Personal current taxes.............. 0.0 1.7 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.5 -3.3 Equals: Disposable personal income........ 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.9 Addenda: Personal consumption expenditures....... 0.1 0.3 0.2 1.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 Goods................................. -0.2 0.7 0.1 2.1 0.1 1.1 -0.1 0.1 Durable goods....................... 0.2 1.2 -1.4 3.3 0.4 0.7 0.5 -1.5 Nondurable goods.................... -0.4 0.4 0.9 1.5 -0.1 1.4 -0.4 1.0 Services.............................. 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.3 Based on chained (2009) dollar measures Real personal income excluding transfer receipts............................... -0.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 -0.2 Real disposable personal income......... -0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- p Preliminary r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the incorporation of revised wage and salary estimates for the third quarter of 2017. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis Table 6. Personal Income and Its Disposition, Percent Change From Preceding Period (Years and Quarters) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2016 2017\r\ --------------Seasonally adjusted at annual rates-------------- --------2016-------- -------------------2017------------------- Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3\r\ Q4\r\ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Based on current-dollar measures Personal income........................... 2.4 3.1 3.0 -0.1 5.6 2.3 3.2 4.7 Compensation of employees............... 2.8 3.3 4.1 -2.6 6.2 3.1 4.5 4.1 Wages and salaries.................... 2.9 3.3 4.4 -3.4 6.3 3.1 4.8 4.4 Supplements to wages and salaries..... 2.4 3.3 3.0 0.8 5.8 2.8 3.3 3.0 Proprietors' income with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments............................ 1.8 3.3 2.0 2.5 7.8 -0.5 1.0 5.9 Rental income of persons with capital consumption adjustment................. 6.8 5.3 1.9 6.2 6.8 5.3 3.8 7.2 Personal income receipts on assets...... -0.4 2.7 0.3 3.1 4.9 2.4 -0.1 7.4 Personal interest income.............. 3.5 4.3 2.4 6.3 11.0 -3.1 -1.2 12.2 Personal dividend income.............. -5.6 0.3 -2.7 -1.4 -3.9 11.4 1.6 0.5 Personal current transfer receipts...... 3.1 3.0 2.5 2.7 5.2 0.7 3.1 3.0 Less: Contributions for government social insurance, domestic............. 3.1 4.6 4.2 -2.5 11.3 3.1 4.6 4.4 Less: Personal current taxes.............. 1.1 4.5 7.0 -1.3 8.7 -2.1 10.4 10.5 Equals: Disposable personal income........ 2.6 2.9 2.5 0.1 5.2 3.0 2.2 3.9 Addenda: Personal consumption expenditures....... 4.0 4.5 4.6 5.0 4.2 3.5 3.7 6.6 Goods................................. 2.2 4.2 2.5 6.1 3.4 1.6 5.2 9.4 Durable goods....................... 3.2 4.5 5.6 5.8 0.8 3.8 5.9 11.5 Nondurable goods.................... 1.7 4.1 1.0 6.2 4.7 0.4 4.8 8.3 Services.............................. 4.8 4.6 5.6 4.5 4.6 4.5 3.0 5.3 Based on chained (2009) dollar measures Real personal income excluding transfer receipts............................... 1.1 1.5 1.3 -2.6 3.4 2.4 1.7 2.3 Real disposable personal income......... 1.4 1.2 0.7 -1.8 2.9 2.7 0.7 1.1 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the incorporation of revised wage and salary estimates for the third quarter of 2017. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis Table 7. Real Personal Consumption Expenditures by Major Type of Product (Months) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -----------------------------------2017----------------------------------- 2018 June July Aug. Sept. Oct.\r\ Nov.\r\ Dec.\r\ Jan.\p\ --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Billions of chained (2009) dollars, seasonally adjusted at annual rates Personal consumption expenditures (PCE)... 11,871.6 11,895.8 11,891.8 11,962.1 11,980.5 12,036.9 12,066.2 12,049.2 Goods......................................... 4,206.8 4,230.6 4,224.0 4,283.3 4,296.8 4,337.1 4,336.6 4,312.0 Durable goods............................... 1,684.5 1,707.5 1,685.8 1,745.3 1,752.6 1,771.6 1,783.0 1,753.7 Nondurable goods............................ 2,567.6 2,571.4 2,582.5 2,590.6 2,597.3 2,619.7 2,610.3 2,610.4 Services...................................... 7,676.3 7,678.9 7,680.7 7,696.8 7,702.8 7,722.0 7,750.2 7,755.0 Change from preceding period in billions of chained (2009) dollars, seasonally adjusted at annual rates Personal consumption expenditures (PCE)... 11.8 24.2 -4.0 70.3 18.4 56.4 29.3 -17.0 Goods......................................... 1.3 23.8 -6.6 59.2 13.5 40.3 -0.5 -24.6 Durable goods............................... 7.0 23.0 -21.6 59.4 7.3 19.0 11.4 -29.3 Nondurable goods............................ -4.4 3.8 11.1 8.1 6.7 22.4 -9.3 0.0 Services...................................... 10.1 2.6 1.7 16.1 6.0 19.2 28.2 4.8 Percent change from preceding period in chained (2009) dollars, seasonally adjusted at monthly rates Personal consumption expenditures (PCE)... 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.2 -0.1 Goods......................................... 0.0 0.6 -0.2 1.4 0.3 0.9 0.0 -0.6 Durable goods............................... 0.4 1.4 -1.3 3.5 0.4 1.1 0.6 -1.6 Nondurable goods............................ -0.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.9 -0.4 0.0 Services...................................... 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- p Preliminary r Revised Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis Table 8. Real Personal Consumption Expenditures by Major Type of Product (Years and Quarters) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2016 2017\r\ --------------Seasonally adjusted at annual rates-------------- --------2016-------- -------------------2017------------------- Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4\r\ --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Billions of chained (2009) dollars Personal consumption expenditures (PCE)... 11,572.1 11,888.9 11,618.1 11,702.1 11,758.0 11,853.0 11,916.6 12,027.9 Goods......................................... 4,072.2 4,228.7 4,090.8 4,138.4 4,145.4 4,199.9 4,246.0 4,323.5 Durable goods............................... 1,595.1 1,701.8 1,611.9 1,647.9 1,647.3 1,677.8 1,712.9 1,769.1 Nondurable goods............................ 2,514.3 2,574.3 2,517.9 2,533.2 2,540.2 2,566.6 2,581.5 2,609.1 Services...................................... 7,507.3 7,674.0 7,534.9 7,573.8 7,621.0 7,664.4 7,685.5 7,725.0 Change from preceding period in billions of chained (2009) dollars Personal consumption expenditures (PCE)... 307.9 316.7 80.4 84.0 55.9 94.9 63.6 111.3 Goods......................................... 144.9 156.5 31.7 47.6 7.0 54.5 46.1 77.5 Durable goods............................... 83.3 106.7 35.7 36.0 -0.6 30.5 35.1 56.2 Nondurable goods............................ 67.5 60.0 0.4 15.3 7.0 26.4 14.9 27.6 Services...................................... 167.2 166.7 49.2 38.9 47.2 43.4 21.0 39.5 Percent change from preceding period in chained (2009) dollars Personal consumption expenditures (PCE)... 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.9 1.9 3.3 2.2 3.8 Goods......................................... 3.7 3.8 3.2 4.7 0.7 5.4 4.5 7.5 Durable goods............................... 5.5 6.7 9.4 9.2 -0.1 7.6 8.6 13.8 Nondurable goods............................ 2.8 2.4 0.1 2.5 1.1 4.2 2.3 4.3 Services...................................... 2.3 2.2 2.7 2.1 2.5 2.3 1.1 2.1 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- r Revised Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis Table 9. Price Indexes for Personal Consumption Expenditures: Level and Percent Change From Preceding Period (Months) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -----------------------------------2017----------------------------------- 2018 June July Aug. Sept. Oct.\r\ Nov.\r\ Dec.\r\ Jan.\p\ --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Chain-type price indexes (2009=100), seasonally adjusted Personal consumption expenditures (PCE)... 112.282 112.390 112.629 113.077 113.247 113.481 113.646 114.064 Goods......................................... 100.764 100.884 101.162 101.876 101.629 101.832 101.788 102.481 Durable goods............................... 86.562 86.392 86.278 86.061 86.041 85.750 85.646 85.755 Nondurable goods............................ 108.292 108.600 109.129 110.447 110.055 110.591 110.590 111.663 Services...................................... 118.426 118.527 118.745 119.045 119.447 119.696 119.976 120.242 Addenda: PCE excluding food and energy............... 112.974 113.083 113.206 113.378 113.644 113.731 113.921 114.230 Food\1\..................................... 109.792 109.979 109.953 109.961 110.032 109.966 110.061 110.120 Energy goods and services\2\................ 99.758 99.647 102.767 109.810 108.138 111.981 111.720 115.079 Market-based PCE\3\......................... 110.254 110.315 110.565 111.001 111.135 111.348 111.438 111.920 Market-based PCE excluding food and energy\3\.................................. 110.711 110.767 110.885 111.007 111.244 111.289 111.396 111.763 Percent change from preceding period in price indexes, seasonally adjusted at monthly rates Personal consumption expenditures (PCE)... 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 Goods......................................... -0.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 -0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7 Durable goods............................... -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 -0.3 0.0 -0.3 -0.1 0.1 Nondurable goods............................ -0.2 0.3 0.5 1.2 -0.4 0.5 0.0 1.0 Services...................................... 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 Addenda: PCE excluding food and energy............... 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 Food\1\..................................... -0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.1 0.1 0.1 Energy goods and services\2\................ -1.7 -0.1 3.1 6.9 -1.5 3.6 -0.2 3.0 Market-based PCE\3\......................... 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 Market-based PCE excluding food and energy\3\.................................. 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- p Preliminary r Revised 1. Food consists of food and beverages purchased for off-premises consumption; food services, which include purchased meals and beverages, are not classified as food. 2. Consists of gasoline and other energy goods and of electricity and gas services. 3. Market-based PCE is a supplemental measure that is based on household expenditures for which there are observable price measures. It excludes most imputed transactions (for example, financial services furnished without payment) and the final consumption expenditures of nonprofit institutions serving households. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis Table 10. Real Disposable Personal Income and Real Personal Consumption Expenditures: Percent Change From Month One Year Ago ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -----------------------------------2017----------------------------------- 2018 June July\r\ Aug.\r\ Sept.\r\ Oct.\r\ Nov.\r\ Dec.\r\ Jan.\p\ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disposable personal income................ 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.3 Personal consumption expenditures......... 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.9 2.8 2.7 Goods................................... 3.1 3.5 3.6 4.3 4.2 5.0 4.2 4.3 Durable goods......................... 6.1 5.8 5.6 7.4 6.8 8.2 7.1 7.1 Nondurable goods...................... 1.7 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.3 2.8 2.9 Services................................ 2.3 2.2 2.0 1.8 2.0 1.9 2.1 2.0 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- p Preliminary r Revised. Revisions include changes to series affected by the incorporation of revised wage and salary estimates for the third quarter of 2017. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis Table 11. Price Indexes for Personal Consumption Expenditures: Percent Change From Month One Year Ago --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -----------------------------------2017----------------------------------- 2018 June July Aug. Sept. Oct.\r\ Nov.\r\ Dec.\r\ Jan.\p\ --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal consumption expenditures (PCE)... 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 Goods......................................... -0.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 Durable goods............................... -2.1 -2.1 -2.2 -2.0 -1.9 -1.7 -1.8 -2.3 Nondurable goods............................ 0.5 1.0 1.4 2.0 1.2 1.8 1.5 1.4 Services...................................... 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 Addenda: PCE excluding food and energy............... 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 Food\1\..................................... -0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 Energy goods and services\2\................ 2.1 3.3 6.7 11.1 6.4 9.1 7.3 5.9 Market-based PCE\3\......................... 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.3 Market-based PCE excluding food and energy\3\.................................. 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- p Preliminary r Revised 1. Food consists of food and beverages purchased for off-premises consumption; food services, which include purchased meals and beverages, are not classified as food. 2. Consists of gasoline and other energy goods and of electricity and gas services. 3. Market-based PCE is a supplemental measure that is based on household expenditures for which there are observable price measures. It excludes most imputed transactions (for example, financial services furnished without payment) and the final consumption expenditures of nonprofit institutions serving households. Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis