FOR WIRE TRANSMISSION: 8:30 A.M. EST, MONDAY, NOVEMBER 3, 1997 Tracey D. Schlitzer: (202) 606-5301 (Personal Income)BEA 97-34 Clinton P. McCully: 606-5302 (Personal Outlays) Recorded message: 606-5303 PERSONAL INCOME AND OUTLAYS: SEPTEMBER 1997 Personal income increased $25.5 billion, or 0.4 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $22.3 billion, or 0.4 percent, in September, according to the Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $11.7 billion, or 0.2 percent. In August, personal income increased $41.2 billion, or 0.6 percent, DPI increased $33.3 billion, or 0.6 percent, and PCE increased $14.7 billion, or 0.3 percent, based on revised estimates. 1997 May June July Aug. Sept. (Percent change from preceding month) Personal income, current dollars 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.6 0.4 Disposable personal income: Current dollars . . . . .2 .5 .1 .6 .4 Chained (1992) dollars. .3 .4 .0 .5 .2 Personal consumption expenditures: Current dollars . . . . .0 .5 1.1 .3 .2 Chained (1992) dollars. . 0 .4 1.0 .2 .0 Wages and salaries Private wage and salary disbursements increased $10.3 billion in September, compared with an increase of $31.0 billion in August. In September, employment and average hourly earnings increased, more than offsetting the effects of a decline in average weekly hours. Goods-producing industries' payrolls increased $4.2 billion in September, compared with an increase of $7.3 billion in August; manufacturing payrolls increased $2.7 billion, compared with an increase of $5.9 billion. Distributive industries' payrolls increased $0.5 billion, compared with an increase of $10.8 billion. Service industries' payrolls increased $5.6 billion, compared with an increase of $13.0 billion. Government wage and salary disbursements increased $1.9 billion, compared with an increase of $2.2 billion. Other personal income Proprietors' income increased $1.7 billion in September, in contrast to a decrease of $0.1 billion in August. Farm proprietors' income decreased $2.0 billion, compared with a decrease of $1.8 billion. Nonfarm proprietors' income increased $3.7 billion, compared with an increase of $1.7 billion. Transfer payments increased $5.5 billion in September, compared with an increase of $2.0 billion in August. Personal interest income increased $3.3 billion, compared with an increase of $3.5 billion. Rental income of persons increased $0.1 billion, compared with an increase of $1.2 billion. Personal dividend income increased $2.1 billion in September, the same increase as in August. Personal taxes and disposable personal income Personal tax and nontax payments increased $3.2 billion in September, compared with an increase of $8.0 billion in August. Disposable personal income (DPI) -- personal income less personal tax and nontax payments -- increased $22.3 billion, or 0.4 percent, in September, compared with an increase of $33.3 billion, or 0.6 percent, in August. Personal outlays and personal saving Personal outlays -- PCE, interest paid by persons, and personal transfer payments to the rest of the world (net) -- increased $12.3 billion in September, compared with an increase of $16.5 billion in August. PCE increased $11.7 billion, compared with an increase of $14.7 billion. Personal saving -- DPI less personal outlays -- was $223.4 billion in September, compared with $213.4 billion in August. Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income was 3.8 percent in September, compared with 3.6 percent in August. Chained (1992) dollar estimates Real DPI -- DPI adjusted to remove price changes -- increased 0.2 percent in September, compared with an increase of 0.5 percent in August. Real PCE -- PCE adjusted to remove price changes -- increased less than 0.1 percent in September, compared with an increase of 0.2 percent in August. Purchases of durable goods decreased 1.3 percent, in contrast to an increase of 0.1 percent; motor vehicle purchases accounted for most of the September decrease. Purchases of nondurable goods increased less than 0.1 percent in September, compared with an increase of 0.1 percent in August. Purchases of services increased 0.3 percent, compared with an increase of 0.2 percent. Revisions Estimates have been revised for July and August. Changes in personal income, current-dollar and chained (1992) dollar DPI, and current-dollar and chained (1992) dollar PCE for July and August -- revised and as published in last month's release -- are shown below. Change from preceding month July August Previous Revised Previous Revised Previous Revised Previous Revised (Dollars) (Percent) (Dollars) (Percent) Personal income: Current dollars . . 16.4 10.3 0.2 0.2 39.5 41.2 0.6 0.6 Disposable personal income: Current dollars . . 13.5 8.2 .2 .1 31.9 33.3 .5 .6 Chained (1992) dollars 4.1 -0.2 .1 .0 22.9 24.3 .4 .5 Personal consumption expenditures: Current dollars . . 52.4 62.1 1.0 1.1 16.4 14.7 .3 .3 Chained (1992) dollars 39.2 48.1 .8 1.0 9.5 8.1 .2 .2 * * * BEA estimates are available in several forms in addition to printed news releases. News releases are available at the time of public release through three subscription services offered by the Commerce Department's STAT-USA. Information on how to receive releases by FAX may be obtained by calling (202) 482-1986 (voice). Information about the Economic Bulletin Board (EBB) and about Internet services may be obtained at the voice number above or on-line, as follows: EBB (202) 482-3870 Internet http://www.stat-usa.gov In addition, BEA's most frequently requested statistical series are available on the Internet, as follows: The Federal Statistics Briefing Room (FSBR) on the White House web site provides summary statistics for GDP and other major aggregates on its output, income, and international statistics pages. http://www.whitehouse.gov/fsbr The FSBR provides links to BEA's web site, which provides summary tables and charts on BEA's national, international, and regional data. http://www.bea.gov BEA's web site provides links to detailed BEA databases on STAT-USA's Internet subscription service. http://www.stat-usa.gov Summary estimates are available on recorded messages at the time of public release at the following telephone numbers: (202) 606 - 5306 Gross domestic product 5303 Personal income and outlays 5362 Summary of international transactions Most of BEA's estimates and analyses appear in the Survey of Current Business, BEA's monthly journal. The Survey of Current Business is available from the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402. First class mail: annual subscription $69.00 domestic. Second class mail: annual subscription $35.00 domestic, $43.75 foreign; single issue $11.00 domestic, $13.75 foreign. In addition, the Survey of Current Business is now available on the Internet in a searchable, retrievable electronic format at least a week before the printed version. To subscribe to STAT-USA's World Wide Web system, go to http://www.stat-usa.gov. Subscriptions for single-user unlimited access to STAT-USA's Internet information are $50.00 for 3 months or $150.00 for 1 year. For further information, call (202) 482-1986. * * * Next release -- Personal Income and Outlays for October will be released on November 28, at 8:30 A.M. EST. Table 1. -- Personal Income [Billions of dollars] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted at annual rates ----------------------------------------------------------- 1995 1996 Apr. 97 May 97 June 97 July 97r Aug. 97r Sep. 97p -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal income..................... 6,150.8 6,495.2 6,800.9 6,822.8 6,863.5 6,873.8 6,915.0 6,940.5 Wage and salary disbursements..... 3,429.5 3,632.5 3,822.1 3,835.1 3,867.6 3,869.9 3,903.1 3,915.3 Private industries.............. 2,806.5 2,989.9 3,161.2 3,173.1 3,204.5 3,204.6 3,235.6 3,245.9 Goods-producing industries.... 864.4 909.1 950.3 953.7 954.5 955.5 962.8 967.0 Manufacturing............... 648.4 674.7 699.5 700.3 701.2 701.5 707.4 710.1 Distributive industries....... 783.1 823.3 863.1 865.0 872.9 872.2 883.0 883.5 Service industries............ 1,159.0 1,257.5 1,347.7 1,354.5 1,377.1 1,376.8 1,389.8 1,395.4 Government...................... 623.0 642.6 660.9 661.9 663.1 665.3 667.5 669.4 Other labor income................ 406.8 407.6 414.4 415.3 415.6 416.6 418.0 419.3 Proprietors' income with IVA and CCAdj........................... 488.9 520.3 540.9 543.6 546.5 546.8 546.7 548.4 Farm............................ 23.4 37.2 43.0 43.8 44.0 43.1 41.3 39.3 Nonfarm......................... 465.5 483.1 497.9 499.8 502.4 503.7 505.4 509.1 Rental income of persons with CCAdj........................... 132.8 146.3 149.3 148.9 147.8 147.1 148.3 148.4 Personal dividend income.......... 251.9 291.2 316.3 318.3 320.3 322.4 324.5 326.6 Personal interest income.......... 718.9 735.7 763.4 766.0 768.9 772.2 775.7 779.0 Transfer payments to persons...... 1,015.0 1,068.0 1,114.6 1,116.6 1,119.7 1,122.0 1,124.0 1,129.5 Old-age, survivors, disability, and health insurance benefits. 507.8 537.6 562.4 564.8 565.9 567.3 569.5 570.4 Government unemployment insurance benefits............ 21.4 22.0 22.0 21.9 21.9 21.8 21.6 21.9 Other........................... 485.7 508.4 530.2 529.9 531.9 532.9 532.8 537.1 Less: Personal contributions for social insurance................ 293.1 306.3 320.1 320.9 323.0 323.1 325.2 326.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- p Preliminary. r Revised. IVA Inventory valuation adjustment CCAdj Capital consumption adjustment Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Table 2. -- The Disposition of Personal Income [Billions of dollars] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted at annual rates ------------------------------------------------------ 1995 1996 Apr. 97 May 97 June 97 July 97r Aug. 97r Sep. 97p -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal income....................... 6,150.8 6,495.2 6,800.9 6,822.8 6,863.5 6,873.8 6,915.0 6,940.5 Less: Personal tax and nontax payments........................... 795.1 886.9 970.4 978.3 988.9 991.0 999.0 1,002.2 Equals: Disposable personal income... 5,355.7 5,608.3 5,830.5 5,844.5 5,874.5 5,882.7 5,916.0 5,938.3 Less: Personal outlays............... 5,101.1 5,368.8 5,592.3 5,592.7 5,623.5 5,686.1 5,702.6 5,714.9 Personal consumption expenditures... 4,957.7 5,207.6 5,422.0 5,422.4 5,451.9 5,514.0 5,528.7 5,540.4 Interest paid by persons............ 128.5 145.2 152.7 152.7 154.0 154.3 156.1 156.6 Personal transfer payments to the rest of the world (net)........... 14.8 15.9 17.6 17.6 17.6 17.9 17.9 17.9 Equals: Personal saving.............. 254.6 239.6 238.2 251.8 251.0 196.6 213.4 223.4 Addenda: Disposable personal income: Chained (1992) dollars 1/........... 4,964.2 5,076.9 5,185.5 5,198.7 5,218.3 5,218.1 5,242.4 5,253.3 Per capita: Current dollars................... 20,349 21,117 21,808 21,845 21,941 21,954 22,061 22,126 Chained (1992) dollars............ 18,861 19,116 19,396 19,431 19,490 19,474 19,549 19,573 Population (thousands).............. 263,194 265,579 267,354 267,541 267,741 267,952 268,171 268,389 Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income ......... 4.8 4.3 4.1 4.3 4.3 3.3 3.6 3.8 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- p Preliminary. r Revised. 1/ Disposable personal income in chained (1992) dollars equals the current-dollar figure divided by the implicit price deflator for personal consumption expenditures. Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Table 3. -- Personal Income and Its Disposition, Change From Preceding Period [Billions of dollars] -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted at annual rates ------------------------------------------------------ 1995 1996 Apr. 97 May 97 June 97 July 97r Aug. 97r Sep. 97p -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal income....................... 359.0 344.4 12.7 21.9 40.7 10.3 41.2 25.5 Wage and salary disbursements........ 188.8 203.0 0.8 13.0 32.5 2.3 33.2 12.2 Private industries................ 168.0 183.4 -0.5 11.9 31.4 0.1 31.0 10.3 Goods-producing industries...... 40.0 44.7 1.5 3.4 0.8 1.0 7.3 4.2 Manufacturing................. 27.6 26.3 1.1 0.8 0.9 0.3 5.9 2.7 Distributive industries......... 41.7 40.2 -1.7 1.9 7.9 -0.7 10.8 0.5 Service industries.............. 86.3 98.5 -0.4 6.8 22.6 -0.3 13.0 5.6 Government........................ 20.8 19.6 1.2 1.0 1.2 2.2 2.2 1.9 Other labor income.................. 1.8 0.8 0.5 0.9 0.3 1.0 1.4 1.3 Proprietors' income with IVA and CCAdj............................. 17.3 31.4 3.7 2.7 2.9 0.3 -0.1 1.7 Farm.............................. -13.5 13.8 1.6 0.8 0.2 -0.9 -1.8 -2.0 Nonfarm........................... 30.8 17.6 2.1 1.9 2.6 1.3 1.7 3.7 Rental income of persons with CCAdj............................. 8.4 13.5 0.1 -0.4 -1.1 -0.7 1.2 0.1 Personal dividend income............ 47.1 39.3 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 Personal interest income............ 50.8 16.8 3.0 2.6 2.9 3.3 3.5 3.3 Transfer payments to persons........ 60.3 53.0 2.7 2.0 3.1 2.3 2.0 5.5 Old-age, survivors, disability, and health insurance benefits... 34.8 29.8 0.9 2.4 1.1 1.4 2.2 0.9 Government unemployment insurance benefits.............. -2.2 0.6 0.0 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.2 0.3 Other............................. 27.5 22.7 1.8 -0.3 2.0 1.0 -0.1 4.3 Less: Personal contributions for social insurance.................. 15.6 13.2 0.0 0.8 2.1 0.1 2.1 0.8 Less: Personal tax and nontax payments............................ 56.0 91.8 3.4 7.9 10.6 2.1 8.0 3.2 Equals: Disposable personal income.... 303.0 252.6 9.3 14.0 30.0 8.2 33.3 22.3 Less: Personal outlays................ 259.0 267.7 12.8 0.4 30.8 62.6 16.5 12.3 Personal consumption expenditures... 240.7 249.9 11.2 0.4 29.5 62.1 14.7 11.7 Interest paid by persons............ 17.6 16.7 1.1 0.0 1.3 0.3 1.8 0.5 Personal transfer payments to the rest of the world (net)........... 0.6 1.1 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 Equals: Personal saving............... 44.0 -15.0 -3.5 13.6 -0.8 -54.4 16.8 10.0 Addenda: Disposable personal income, chained (1992) dollars.......... 159.1 112.7 4.1 13.2 19.6 -0.2 24.3 10.9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------- p Preliminary. r Revised. IVA Inventory valuation adjustment CCAdj Capital consumption adjustment Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Table 4. -- Personal Consumption Expenditures by Major Type of Product ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seasonally adjusted at annual rates --------------------------------------------------------- 1995 1996 Apr. 97 May 97 June 97 July 97r Aug. 97r Sep. 97p ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Billions of current dollars -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal consumption expenditures..... 4,957.7 5,207.6 5,422.0 5,422.4 5,451.9 5,514.0 5,528.7 5,540.4 Durable goods....................... 608.5 634.5 642.9 643.5 647.0 669.3 667.4 658.3 Nondurable goods.................... 1,475.8 1,534.7 1,577.0 1,577.1 1,582.6 1,597.6 1,602.3 1,606.8 Services............................ 2,873.4 3,038.4 3,202.1 3,201.8 3,222.3 3,247.0 3,259.1 3,275.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Billions of chained (1992) dollars -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal consumption expenditures..... 4,595.3 4,714.1 4,822.2 4,823.2 4,842.9 4,891.0 4,899.1 4,901.3 Durable goods....................... 583.6 611.1 625.9 628.1 633.0 656.2 656.8 648.3 Nondurable goods.................... 1,412.6 1,432.3 1,446.3 1,449.1 1,454.7 1,466.1 1,467.0 1,467.3 Services............................ 2,599.6 2,671.0 2,749.1 2,745.5 2,755.0 2,770.4 2,776.9 2,786.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Implicit price deflators (Index numbers, 1992 = 100) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal consumption expenditures..... 107.89 110.47 112.44 112.42 112.58 112.74 112.85 113.04 Durable goods....................... 104.27 103.83 102.72 102.45 102.22 102.00 101.60 101.53 Nondurable goods.................... 104.48 107.15 109.03 108.83 108.79 108.97 109.22 109.51 Services............................ 110.53 113.76 116.48 116.62 116.96 117.20 117.36 117.56 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Change from preceding period ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Billions of current dollars -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal consumption expenditures..... 240.7 249.9 11.2 0.4 29.5 62.1 14.7 11.7 Durable goods....................... 29.0 26.0 -11.5 0.6 3.5 22.3 -1.9 -9.1 Nondurable goods.................... 47.4 58.9 -11.6 0.1 5.5 15.0 4.7 4.5 Services............................ 164.3 165.0 34.3 -0.3 20.5 24.7 12.1 16.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Billions of chained (1992) dollars -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal consumption expenditures..... 109.3 118.8 6.1 1.0 19.7 48.1 8.1 2.2 Durable goods....................... 22.4 27.5 -7.9 2.2 4.9 23.2 0.6 -8.5 Nondurable goods.................... 22.7 19.7 -12.9 2.8 5.6 11.4 0.9 0.3 Services............................ 64.1 71.4 24.9 -3.6 9.5 15.4 6.5 9.1 __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Table 5. -- Percent Change From Preceding Period in Selected Series -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1995 1996 Apr. 97 May 97 June 97 July 97r Aug. 97r Sep. 97p -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Based on current dollars --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Personal income....................... 6.2 5.6 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.6 0.4 Disposable personal income............ 6.0 4.7 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.6 0.4 Personal consumption expenditures..... 5.1 5.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.3 0.2 Durable goods....................... 5.0 4.3 -1.7 0.1 0.6 3.4 -0.3 -1.4 Nondurable goods.................... 3.3 4.0 -0.7 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.3 0.3 Services............................ 6.1 5.7 1.1 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.5 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Based on chained (1992) dollars --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disposable personal income............ 3.3 2.3 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.2 Personal consumption expenditures..... 2.4 2.6 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 Durable goods....................... 4.0 4.7 -1.2 0.3 0.8 3.7 0.1 -1.3 Nondurable goods.................... 1.6 1.4 -0.9 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 Services............................ 2.5 2.7 0.9 -0.1 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------- p Preliminary. r Revised. Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.