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James E. Rankin: (202) 606-5301 (Personal Income) BEA 03-18
Greg Key: (202) 606-5302 (Personal Outlays)
Recorded message: (202) 606-5303
PERSONAL INCOME AND OUTLAYS: APRIL 2003
Personal income increased $4.0 billion, or less than 0.1 percent, and disposable personal income
(DPI) increased $4.4 billion, or 0.1 percent, in April, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) decreased $7.5 billion, or 0.1 percent. In March, personal
income increased $37.6 billion, or 0.4 percent, DPI increased $28.6 billion, or 0.4 percent, and PCE
increased $63.3 billion, or 0.8 percent, based on revised estimates.
2002 2003
Dec. Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr.
(Percent change from preceding month)
Personal income, current dollars 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.0
Disposable personal income:
Current dollars 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.1
Chained (1996) dollars 0.3 0.5 -0.3 0.0 0.3
Personal consumption expenditures:
Current dollars 1.1 -0.1 0.1 0.8 -0.1
Chained (1996) dollars 1.0 -0.2 -0.4 0.5 0.1
As announced in the November 2002 issue of the Survey of Current Business, the Bureau of
Economic Analysis plans to release the results of its 12th comprehensive (or benchmark) revision of the
national income and product accounts (NIPA's) on December 10, 2003. The annual revision of the
NIPA's that would normally take place this summer will instead be combined with the upcoming
comprehensive revision. Beginning with the June 2003 issue of the Survey, a series of articles will be
presented that discuss the revision.
Wages and salaries
Private wage and salary disbursements decreased $16.1 billion in April, in contrast to an
increase of $22.8 billion in March. Goods-producing industries' payrolls decreased $5.0 billion, in
contrast to an increase of $1.8 billion; manufacturing payrolls decreased $6.4 billion, compared with
a decrease of $1.4 billion. Distributive industries' payrolls decreased $3.2 billion, in contrast to an
increase of $5.7 billion. Service industries' payrolls decreased $7.9 billion, in contrast to an increase
of $15.4 billion. Government wage and salary disbursements increased $4.0 billion, compared with
an increase of $2.7 billion.
Other personal income
Proprietors' income increased $6.5 billion in April, compared with an increase of $4.8 billion in
March. Farm proprietors' income decreased $1.5 billion, compared with a decrease of $0.1 billion.
Nonfarm proprietors' income increased $8.0 billion, compared with an increase of $4.9 billion.
Transfer payments increased $5.5 billion in April, compared with an increase of $9.3 billion in
March. Personal interest income increased $0.9 billion, in contrast to a decrease of $4.3 billion.
Personal dividend income increased $2.7 billion, compared with an increase of $2.5 billion. Rental
income of persons decreased $2.0 billion, compared with a decrease of $0.3 billion.
Personal contributions for social insurance -- a subtraction in calculating personal income --
decreased $0.6 billion in April, in contrast to an increase of $1.8 billion in March.
Personal taxes and disposable personal income
Personal tax and nontax payments decreased $0.4 billion in April, in contrast to an increase of
$9.1 billion in March. Disposable personal income (DPI) -- personal income less personal tax and
nontax payments -- increased $4.4 billion, or 0.1 percent, in April, compared with an increase of
$28.6 billion, or 0.4 percent, in March.
Personal outlays and personal saving
Personal outlays -- PCE, interest paid by persons, and personal transfer payments to the rest of
the world (net) -- decreased $7.7 billion in April, in contrast to an increase of $66.2 billion in March.
PCE decreased $7.5 billion, in contrast to an increase of $63.3 billion.
Personal saving -- DPI less personal outlays -- was $297.6 billion in April, compared with
$285.6 billion in March. Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income was 3.7
percent in April, compared with 3.5 percent in March.
Real DPI and real PCE
Real DPI -- DPI adjusted to remove price changes -- increased 0.3 percent in April,
compared with an increase of less than 0.1 percent in March. In April, the larger increase in real
DPI than in current-dollar DPI reflected a decrease in the PCE implicit price deflator, which is used
to deflate DPI. The decrease in the PCE implicit price deflator was mostly accounted for by large
decreases in energy prices.
Real PCE -- PCE adjusted to remove price changes -- increased 0.1 percent in April, compared
with an increase of 0.5 percent in March. The increase in real PCE in April, in contrast to the
decrease in current-dollar PCE, reflected a decrease in the PCE implicit price deflator. Purchases of
durable goods increased 1.5 percent in April, compared with an increase of 3.1 percent in March.
Purchases of motor vehicles and parts accounted for most of the April increase and about one-half of
the March increase. Purchases of nondurable goods decreased 0.6 percent in April, in contrast to an
increase of 0.6 percent in March. Purchases of services increased 0.2 percent, in contrast to a
decrease of less than 0.1 percent.
Revisions
Estimates have been revised for January through March. Changes in personal income, current-
dollar and chained (1996) dollar DPI, and current-dollar and chained (1996) dollar PCE for February
and March -- revised and as published in last month's release -- are shown below. The upward
revision to March personal consumption expenditures primarily reflected a large upward revision to
the retail sales source data used to derive these estimates. Revisions for January to personal income
and to PCE were small. DPI was revised up $22.7 billion in January, which primarily reflected a
downward revision of $22.6 billion to personal tax and nontax payments (a subtraction in calculating
disposable personal income). The revision to personal taxes was mostly accounted for by a
downward revision to federal nonwithheld income taxes, reflecting newly available data through
April from the Monthly Treasury Statement and revised projections for the remainder of the calendar
year.
Change from preceding month
February March
Previous Revised Previous Revised Previous Revised Previous Revised
(Billions of dollars) (Percent) (Billions of dollars) (Percent)
Personal Income:
Current dollars.......... 19.5 18.1 0.2 0.2 35.5 37.6 0.4 0.4
Disposable personal income:
Current dollars.......... 13.3 12.2 0.2 0.2 26.5 28.6 0.3 0.4
Chained (1996) dollars... -21.9 -23.3 -0.3 -0.3 -0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0
Personal consumption expenditures:
Current dollars.......... 9.2 7.4 0.1 0.1 30.7 63.3 0.4 0.8
Chained (1996) dollars... -23.4 -25.1 -0.4 -0.4 4.9 32.7 0.1 0.5
BEA's major national, international, regional, and industry estimates; the Survey of Current
Business; and BEA news releases are available without charge on BEA's Web site:
<www.bea.gov>
Summary BEA estimates are available on recorded messages at the time of public release at the
following telephone numbers:
(202) 606-5306 Gross domestic product
(202) 606-5303 Personal income and outlays
(202) 606-5362 U.S. international transactions
Most of BEA's estimates and analyses appear in the Survey of Current Business, BEA's
monthly journal. Subscriptions and single copies of the printed Survey are for sale by the
Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office. Internet: <bookstore.gpo.gov>;
phone: 202-512-1800; fax: 202-512-2250; mail: Stop SSOP, Washington, DC 20402-0001.
* * *
Next release -- Personal Income and Outlays for May will be released on
June 27, 2003, at 8:30 A.M. EDT.
Table 1.--Personal Income and Its Disposition (Months)
[Billions of dollars; months seasonally adjusted at annual rates]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sep 02 Oct 02 Nov 02 Dec 02 Jan 03/r/ Feb 03/r/ Mar 03/r/ Apr 03/p/
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Personal income..................... 8,983.1 9,010.2 9,038.9 9,070.5 9,103.1 9,121.2 9,158.8 9,162.8
Wage and salary disbursements..... 5,027.4 5,038.8 5,054.2 5,064.3 5,086.5 5,099.8 5,125.4 5,113.4
Private industries.............. 4,167.4 4,175.4 4,188.6 4,197.0 4,211.2 4,218.0 4,240.8 4,224.7
Goods-producing industries.... 1,117.3 1,117.3 1,115.8 1,117.9 1,121.0 1,118.7 1,120.5 1,115.5
Manufacturing............... 757.8 758.0 756.1 756.6 758.5 757.9 756.5 750.1
Distributive industries....... 1,123.7 1,125.3 1,128.1 1,129.4 1,129.8 1,126.8 1,132.5 1,129.3
Service industries............ 1,926.4 1,932.9 1,944.8 1,949.7 1,960.4 1,972.4 1,987.8 1,979.9
Government...................... 860.0 863.3 865.6 867.3 875.3 881.9 884.6 888.6
Other labor income................ 622.1 625.9 630.1 634.4 637.0 639.3 641.1 643.0
Proprietors' income with
inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments.......... 763.8 769.7 770.4 774.6 784.4 784.1 788.9 795.4
Farm............................ 13.8 13.0 11.8 10.2 12.8 16.3 16.2 14.7
Nonfarm......................... 750.0 756.7 758.6 764.4 771.6 767.8 772.7 780.7
Rental income of persons with
capital consumption adjustment... 135.9 133.2 130.6 127.9 127.9 127.6 127.3 125.3
Personal dividend income.......... 439.4 441.6 443.8 446.0 448.6 451.2 453.7 456.4
Personal interest income.......... 1,076.7 1,078.8 1,080.9 1,083.1 1,078.8 1,074.5 1,070.2 1,071.1
Transfer payments to persons...... 1,304.6 1,309.9 1,317.6 1,329.8 1,333.9 1,339.6 1,348.9 1,354.4
Old-age, survivors, disability,
and health insurance benefits.. 704.6 704.5 710.3 717.6 718.2 722.4 727.1 728.9
Government unemployment
insurance benefits............. 67.8 66.0 63.3 63.3 60.9 61.5 63.6 64.8
Other........................... 532.3 539.4 544.0 548.9 554.9 555.8 558.1 560.7
Less: Personal contributions for
social insurance................. 386.7 387.6 388.8 389.6 393.9 394.9 396.7 396.1
Less: Personal tax and nontax
payments........................... 1,096.8 1,096.2 1,096.2 1,097.8 1,078.5 1,084.4 1,093.5 1,093.1
Equals: Disposable personal income.. 7,886.4 7,914.0 7,942.7 7,972.7 8,024.6 8,036.8 8,065.4 8,069.8
Less: Personal outlays.............. 7,567.5 7,592.0 7,626.0 7,704.1 7,703.2 7,713.6 7,779.8 7,772.1
Personal consumption expenditures. 7,347.2 7,374.3 7,410.7 7,491.2 7,487.1 7,494.5 7,557.8 7,550.3
Durable goods................... 872.8 848.1 857.7 915.9 867.1 846.7 871.5 882.1
Nondurable goods................ 2,115.6 2,137.5 2,150.2 2,162.1 2,193.4 2,204.2 2,227.3 2,195.9
Services........................ 4,358.8 4,388.6 4,402.7 4,413.2 4,426.5 4,443.7 4,459.0 4,472.3
Interest paid by persons.......... 187.4 185.0 182.5 180.1 183.1 186.0 189.0 188.8
Personal transfer payments to the
rest of the world (net).......... 32.9 32.8 32.8 32.8 33.1 33.1 33.1 33.1
Equals: Personal saving............. 318.8 322.0 316.7 268.6 321.4 323.2 285.6 297.6
Addenda:
Disposable personal income:
Total, billions of chained
(1996) dollars\1\.............. 7,067.2 7,079.8 7,100.9 7,121.5 7,156.9 7,133.6 7,134.0 7,153.6
Per capita:
Current dollars............... 27,381 27,454 27,533 27,618 27,777 27,800 27,876 27,867
Chained (1996) dollars........ 24,537 24,560 24,615 24,669 24,773 24,675 24,657 24,703
Population (thousands)\2\....... 288,024 288,263 288,480 288,682 288,893 289,098 289,335 289,579
Personal saving as a percentage
of disposable personal income.... 4.0 4.1 4.0 3.4 4.0 4.0 3.5 3.7
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
p Preliminary.
r Revised.
1. Equals disposable personal income deflated by the implicit price deflator for
personal consumption expenditures.
2. Population is the total population of the United States, including the Armed
Forces overseas and the institutionalized population. The monthly estimate
is the average of estimates for the first of the month and the first of the
following month; the annual estimate is the average of the monthly estimates.
Table 2.--Personal Income and Its Disposition (Years and Quarters)
[Billions of dollars; quarters seasonally adjusted at annual rates]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2001 2002 IV 01 I 02 II 02 III 02 IV 02 I 03/r/
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Personal income..................... 8,685.3 8,929.1 8,700.9 8,803.4 8,914.0 8,958.9 9,039.9 9,127.7
Wage and salary disbursements..... 4,950.6 5,003.7 4,931.4 4,957.8 4,997.3 5,007.4 5,052.4 5,103.9
Private industries.............. 4,139.8 4,150.9 4,106.2 4,117.4 4,148.9 4,150.3 4,187.0 4,223.3
Goods-producing industries.... 1,142.4 1,117.6 1,123.3 1,116.9 1,121.3 1,115.2 1,117.0 1,120.1
Manufacturing............... 789.4 759.9 769.9 759.4 765.3 757.9 756.9 757.6
Distributive industries....... 1,109.2 1,117.7 1,098.6 1,110.1 1,115.3 1,117.8 1,127.6 1,129.7
Service industries............ 1,888.2 1,915.6 1,884.3 1,890.4 1,912.4 1,917.3 1,942.4 1,973.5
Government...................... 810.8 852.8 825.2 840.4 848.4 857.1 865.4 880.6
Other labor income................ 570.4 610.6 576.3 590.8 604.1 617.5 630.2 639.1
Proprietors' income with
inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments.......... 727.9 756.5 731.3 748.4 747.5 758.7 771.6 785.8
Farm............................ 19.0 12.9 19.2 21.7 7.5 10.7 11.7 15.1
Nonfarm......................... 708.8 743.7 712.1 726.7 740.0 748.0 759.9 770.7
Rental income of persons with
capital consumption adjustment... 137.9 142.4 139.3 141.3 153.5 144.1 130.6 127.6
Personal dividend income.......... 409.2 433.8 417.3 423.7 430.3 437.3 443.8 451.2
Personal interest income.......... 1,091.3 1,078.5 1,072.9 1,069.9 1,082.3 1,080.7 1,080.9 1,074.5
Transfer payments to persons...... 1,170.4 1,288.0 1,205.0 1,252.0 1,282.6 1,298.4 1,319.1 1,340.8
Old-age, survivors, disability,
and health insurance benefits.. 664.3 699.8 674.0 690.2 696.3 701.9 710.8 722.6
Government unemployment
insurance benefits............. 31.9 62.9 41.0 52.3 67.3 67.6 64.2 62.0
Other........................... 474.2 525.4 490.0 509.5 519.0 528.9 544.1 556.2
Less: Personal contributions for
social insurance................. 372.3 384.5 372.7 380.5 383.6 385.3 388.7 395.2
Less: Personal tax and nontax
payments........................... 1,292.1 1,113.6 1,309.7 1,136.8 1,121.8 1,099.0 1,096.8 1,085.5
Equals: Disposable personal income.. 7,393.2 7,815.5 7,391.2 7,666.7 7,792.2 7,859.9 7,943.2 8,042.3
Less: Personal outlays.............. 7,223.5 7,524.5 7,329.6 7,396.3 7,477.9 7,583.0 7,640.7 7,732.2
Personal consumption expenditures. 6,987.0 7,303.7 7,099.9 7,174.2 7,254.7 7,360.7 7,425.4 7,513.1
Durable goods................... 835.9 871.9 882.6 859.0 856.9 897.8 873.9 861.7
Nondurable goods................ 2,041.3 2,115.0 2,044.4 2,085.1 2,108.2 2,116.9 2,150.0 2,208.3
Services........................ 4,109.9 4,316.8 4,172.9 4,230.1 4,289.5 4,346.0 4,401.5 4,443.1
Interest paid by persons.......... 205.4 188.4 199.1 190.6 191.3 189.3 182.5 186.0
Personal transfer payments to the
rest of the world (net).......... 31.1 32.3 30.6 31.5 31.9 32.9 32.8 33.1
Equals: Personal saving............. 169.7 291.0 61.5 270.4 314.3 276.9 302.5 310.1
Addenda:
Disposable personal income:
Total, billions of chained
(1996) dollars\1\.............. 6,748.0 7,036.8 6,729.1 6,961.0 7,027.2 7,058.1 7,100.8 7,141.4
Per capita:
Current dollars............... 25,957 27,188 25,853 26,759 27,144 27,313 27,535 27,817
Chained (1996) dollars........ 23,692 24,479 23,537 24,296 24,479 24,527 24,615 24,702
Population (thousands)\2\....... 284,822 287,456 285,898 286,507 287,072 287,770 288,475 289,109
Personal saving as a percentage
of disposable personal income.... 2.3 3.7 .8 3.5 4.0 3.5 3.8 3.9
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
r Revised.
1. Equals disposable personal income deflated by the implicit price deflator for
personal consumption expenditures.
2. Population is the total population of the United States, including the Armed
Forces overseas and the institutionalized population. The quarterly and
annual estimates are averages of monthly population estimates.
Table 3.--Personal Income and Its Disposition, Change from Preceding Period (Months)
[Billions of dollars; months seasonally adjusted at annual rates]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sep 02 Oct 02 Nov 02 Dec 02 Jan 03/r/ Feb 03/r/ Mar 03/r/ Apr 03/p/
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Personal income..................... 24.4 27.1 28.7 31.6 32.6 18.1 37.6 4.0
Wage and salary disbursements..... 17.6 11.4 15.4 10.1 22.2 13.3 25.6 -12.0
Private industries.............. 15.3 8.0 13.2 8.4 14.2 6.8 22.8 -16.1
Goods-producing industries.... .3 .0 -1.5 2.1 3.1 -2.3 1.8 -5.0
Manufacturing............... -1.3 .2 -1.9 .5 1.9 -.6 -1.4 -6.4
Distributive industries....... 5.3 1.6 2.8 1.3 .4 -3.0 5.7 -3.2
Service industries............ 9.7 6.5 11.9 4.9 10.7 12.0 15.4 -7.9
Government...................... 2.3 3.3 2.3 1.7 8.0 6.6 2.7 4.0
Other labor income................ 4.6 3.8 4.2 4.3 2.6 2.3 1.8 1.9
Proprietors' income with
inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments.......... 6.4 5.9 .7 4.2 9.8 -.3 4.8 6.5
Farm............................ 3.1 -.8 -1.2 -1.6 2.6 3.5 -.1 -1.5
Nonfarm......................... 3.3 6.7 1.9 5.8 7.2 -3.8 4.9 8.0
Rental income of persons with
capital consumption adjustment... -8.2 -2.7 -2.6 -2.7 .0 -.3 -.3 -2.0
Personal dividend income.......... 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.7
Personal interest income.......... -4.0 2.1 2.1 2.2 -4.3 -4.3 -4.3 .9
Transfer payments to persons...... 7.3 5.3 7.7 12.2 4.1 5.7 9.3 5.5
Old-age, survivors, disability,
and health insurance benefits.. 2.7 -.1 5.8 7.3 .6 4.2 4.7 1.8
Government unemployment
insurance benefits............. .9 -1.8 -2.7 .0 -2.4 .6 2.1 1.2
Other............................ 3.8 7.1 4.6 4.9 6.0 .9 2.3 2.6
Less: Personal contributions for
social insurance................. 1.3 .9 1.2 .8 4.3 1.0 1.8 -.6
Less: Personal tax and nontax
payments........................... -2.0 -.6 .0 1.6 -19.3 5.9 9.1 -.4
Equals: Disposable personal income.. 26.5 27.6 28.7 30.0 51.9 12.2 28.6 4.4
Less: Personal outlays.............. -34.1 24.5 34.0 78.1 -.9 10.4 66.2 -7.7
Personal consumption expenditures. -32.1 27.1 36.4 80.5 -4.1 7.4 63.3 -7.5
Durable goods................... -46.2 -24.7 9.6 58.2 -48.8 -20.4 24.8 10.6
Nondurable goods................ -1.7 21.9 12.7 11.9 31.3 10.8 23.1 -31.4
Services........................ 15.8 29.8 14.1 10.5 13.3 17.2 15.3 13.3
Interest paid by persons.......... -1.9 -2.4 -2.5 -2.4 3.0 2.9 3.0 -.2
Personal transfer payments to the
rest of the world (net).......... .0 -.1 .0 .0 .3 .0 .0 .0
Equals: Personal saving............. 60.5 3.2 -5.3 -48.1 52.8 1.8 -37.6 12.0
Addendum:
Disposable personal income:
Chained (1996) dollars\1\........ 9.8 12.6 21.1 20.6 35.4 -23.3 .4 19.6
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
p Preliminary.
r Revised.
1. Equals disposable personal income deflated by the implicit price deflator
for personal consumption expenditures.
Table 4.--Personal Income and Its Disposition, Change from Preceding Period (Years and Quarters)
[Billions of dollars; quarters seasonally adjusted at annual rates]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2001 2002 IV 01 I 02 II 02 III 02 IV 02 I 03/r/
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Personal income..................... 278.7 243.8 -5.3 102.5 110.6 44.9 81.0 87.8
Wage and salary disbursements..... 114.3 53.1 -22.3 26.4 39.5 10.1 45.0 51.5
Private industries.............. 72.4 11.1 -30.4 11.2 31.5 1.4 36.7 36.3
Goods-producing industries.... -21.3 -24.8 -16.7 -6.4 4.4 -6.1 1.8 3.1
Manufacturing............... -40.0 -29.5 -13.5 -10.5 5.9 -7.4 -1.0 .7
Distributive industries....... 14.4 8.5 -12.2 11.5 5.2 2.5 9.8 2.1
Service industries............ 79.3 27.4 -1.5 6.1 22.0 4.9 25.1 31.1
Government...................... 41.9 42.0 8.1 15.2 8.0 8.7 8.3 15.2
Other labor income................ 26.2 40.2 3.9 14.5 13.3 13.4 12.7 8.9
Proprietors' income with
inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments.......... 13.1 28.6 -1.1 17.1 -.9 11.2 12.9 14.2
Farm............................ -3.6 -6.1 -.1 2.5 -14.2 3.2 1.0 3.4
Nonfarm......................... 16.6 34.9 -1.0 14.6 13.3 8.0 11.9 10.8
Rental income of persons with
capital consumption adjustment... -8.7 4.5 -1.5 2.0 12.2 -9.4 -13.5 -3.0
Personal dividend income.......... 33.5 24.6 6.3 6.4 6.6 7.0 6.5 7.4
Personal interest income.......... 14.3 -12.8 -13.5 -3.0 12.4 -1.6 .2 -6.4
Transfer payments to persons...... 100.1 117.6 22.5 47.0 30.6 15.8 20.7 21.7
Old-age, survivors, disability,
and health insurance benefits.. 47.1 35.5 3.9 16.2 6.1 5.6 8.9 11.8
Government unemployment
insurance benefits............. 11.4 31.0 7.9 11.3 15.0 .3 -3.4 -2.2
Other............................ 41.7 51.2 10.7 19.5 9.5 9.9 15.2 12.1
Less: Personal contributions for
social insurance................. 13.9 12.2 -.4 7.8 3.1 1.7 3.4 6.5
Less: Personal tax and nontax
payments........................... 5.7 -178.5 127.8 -172.9 -15.0 -22.8 -2.2 -11.3
Equals: Disposable personal income.. 273.0 422.3 -133.0 275.5 125.5 67.7 83.3 99.1
Less: Personal outlays.............. 304.9 301.0 107.6 66.7 81.6 105.1 57.7 91.5
Personal consumption expenditures. 303.3 316.7 116.2 74.3 80.5 106.0 64.7 87.7
Durable goods................... 32.0 36.0 58.6 -23.6 -2.1 40.9 -23.9 -12.2
Nondurable goods................ 68.4 73.7 .1 40.7 23.1 8.7 33.1 58.3
Services........................ 203.0 206.9 57.5 57.2 59.4 56.5 55.5 41.6
Interest paid by persons.......... .0 -17.0 -7.4 -8.5 .7 -2.0 -6.8 3.5
Personal transfer payments to the
rest of the world (net).......... 1.6 1.2 -1.2 .9 .4 1.0 -.1 .3
Equals: Personal saving............. -31.8 121.3 -240.7 208.9 43.9 -37.4 25.6 7.6
Addendum:
Disposable personal income:
Chained (1996) dollars\1\........ 117.7 288.8 -134.9 231.9 66.2 30.9 42.7 40.6
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
r Revised.
1. Equals disposable personal income deflated by the implicit price deflator
for personal consumption expenditures.
Table 5.--Personal Income and Its Disposition, Percent Change from Preceding Period (Months)
[Percent; months seasonally adjusted at monthly rates]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sep 02 Oct 02 Nov 02 Dec 02 Jan 03/r/ Feb 03/r/ Mar 03/r/ Apr 03/p/
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Personal income..................... .3 .3 .3 .3 .4 .2 .4 .0
Wage and salary disbursements..... .4 .2 .3 .2 .4 .3 .5 -.2
Other labor income................ .7 .6 .7 .7 .4 .4 .3 .3
Proprietors' income with
inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments.......... .8 .8 .1 .5 1.3 .0 .6 .8
Rental income of persons with
capital consumption adjustment... -5.7 -2.0 -1.9 -2.1 .0 -.2 -.3 -1.6
Personal dividend income.......... .5 .5 .5 .5 .6 .6 .6 .6
Personal interest income.......... -.4 .2 .2 .2 -.4 -.4 -.4 .1
Transfer payments to persons...... .6 .4 .6 .9 .3 .4 .7 .4
Less: Personal contributions for
social insurance................. .3 .2 .3 .2 1.1 .3 .5 -.2
Less: Personal tax and nontax
payments........................... -.2 -.1 .0 .1 -1.8 .5 .8 .0
Equals: Disposable personal income.. .3 .4 .4 .4 .7 .2 .4 .1
Addenda:
Personal consumption expenditures. -.4 .4 .5 1.1 -.1 .1 .8 -.1
Durable goods................... -5.0 -2.8 1.1 6.8 -5.3 -2.4 2.9 1.2
Nondurable goods................ -.1 1.0 .6 .6 1.5 .5 1.0 -1.4
Services........................ .4 .7 .3 .2 .3 .4 .3 .3
Disposable personal income, based
on chained (1996) dollars........ .1 .2 .3 .3 .5 -.3 .0 .3
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
p Preliminary.
r Revised.
Table 6.--Personal Income and Its Disposition, Percent Change from Preceding Period (Years and Quarters)
[Percent; quarters seasonally adjusted at annual rates]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2001 2002 IV 01 I 02 II 02 III 02 IV 02 I 03/r/
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Personal income..................... 3.3 2.8 -.2 4.8 5.1 2.0 3.7 3.9
Wage and salary disbursements..... 2.4 1.1 -1.8 2.2 3.2 .8 3.6 4.1
Other labor income................ 4.8 7.1 2.8 10.4 9.3 9.2 8.4 5.8
Proprietors' income with
inventory valuation and capital
consumption adjustments.......... 1.8 3.9 -.6 9.7 -.5 6.2 6.9 7.6
Rental income of persons with
capital consumption adjustment... -6.0 3.3 -4.3 5.9 39.3 -22.3 -32.7 -8.8
Personal dividend income.......... 8.9 6.0 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.6 6.1 6.8
Personal interest income.......... 1.3 -1.2 -4.9 -1.1 4.7 -.6 .1 -2.4
Transfer payments to persons...... 9.4 10.0 7.8 16.5 10.1 5.0 6.5 6.7
Less: Personal contributions for
social insurance................. 3.9 3.3 -.4 8.6 3.3 1.8 3.6 6.9
Less: Personal tax and nontax
payments........................... .4 -13.8 50.8 -43.3 -5.1 -7.9 -.8 -4.0
Equals: Disposable personal income.. 3.8 5.7 -6.9 15.8 6.7 3.5 4.3 5.1
Addenda:
Personal consumption expenditures. 4.5 4.5 6.8 4.3 4.6 6.0 3.6 4.8
Durable goods................... 4.0 4.3 31.6 -10.3 -.9 20.5 -10.2 -5.4
Nondurable goods................ 3.5 3.6 .0 8.2 4.5 1.7 6.4 11.3
Services........................ 5.2 5.0 5.7 5.6 5.7 5.4 5.2 3.8
Disposable personal income, based
on chained (1996) dollars........ 1.8 4.3 -7.6 14.5 3.9 1.8 2.4 2.3
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
r Revised.
Table 7.--Real Personal Consumption Expenditures by Major Type of Product (Months)
[Months seasonally adjusted at annual rates except as noted]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sep 02 Oct 02 Nov 02 Dec 02 Jan 03/r/ Feb 03/r/ Mar 03/r/ Apr 03/p/
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Billions of chained (1996) dollars
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Personal consumption expenditures... 6,584.0 6,596.9 6,625.3 6,691.4 6,677.4 6,652.3 6,685.0 6,693.1
Durable goods..................... 1,003.5 977.0 991.7 1,062.9 1,009.7 988.8 1,019.5 1,034.5
Nondurable goods.................. 1,920.2 1,937.9 1,950.0 1,962.0 1,984.5 1,972.5 1,983.9 1,972.8
Services.......................... 3,689.0 3,704.0 3,708.7 3,708.1 3,712.7 3,715.2 3,713.4 3,720.7
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Change from preceding period in
billions of chained (1996) dollars
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Personal consumption expenditures... -41.9 12.9 28.4 66.1 -14.0 -25.1 32.7 8.1
Durable goods..................... -53.8 -26.5 14.7 71.2 -53.2 -20.9 30.7 15.0
Nondurable goods.................. -6.0 17.7 12.1 12.0 22.5 -12.0 11.4 -11.1
Services.......................... 5.6 15.0 4.7 -.6 4.6 2.5 -1.8 7.3
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Percent change from preceding period in
chained (1996) dollars at monthly rates
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Personal consumption expenditures... -.6 .2 .4 1.0 -.2 -.4 .5 .1
Durable goods..................... -5.1 -2.6 1.5 7.2 -5.0 -2.1 3.1 1.5
Nondurable goods.................. -.3 .9 .6 .6 1.1 -.6 .6 -.6
Services.......................... .2 .4 .1 .0 .1 .1 .0 .2
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
p Preliminary.
r Revised.
Table 8.--Real Personal Consumption Expenditures by Major Type of Product (Years and Quarters)
[Quarters seasonally adjusted at annual rates]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2001 2002 IV 01 I 02 II 02 III 02 IV 02 I 03/r/
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Billions of chained (1996) dollars
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Personal consumption expenditures... 6,377.2 6,576.0 6,464.0 6,513.8 6,542.4 6,609.9 6,637.9 6,671.6
Durable goods..................... 931.9 999.9 992.0 975.9 980.7 1,032.4 1,010.6 1,006.0
Nondurable goods.................. 1,869.8 1,929.5 1,885.0 1,921.4 1,920.9 1,925.8 1,950.0 1,980.3
Services.......................... 3,594.9 3,675.6 3,616.6 3,642.2 3,666.2 3,687.0 3,707.0 3,713.8
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Change from preceding period in
billions of chained (1996) dollars
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Personal consumption expenditures... 153.3 198.8 93.1 49.8 28.6 67.5 28.0 33.7
Durable goods..................... 53.0 68.0 69.4 -16.1 4.8 51.7 -21.8 -4.6
Nondurable goods.................. 36.0 59.7 16.7 36.4 -.5 4.9 24.2 30.3
Services.......................... 70.4 80.7 19.1 25.6 24.0 20.8 20.0 6.8
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Percent change from preceding period in
chained (1996) dollars at annual rates
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Personal consumption expenditures... 2.5 3.1 6.0 3.1 1.8 4.2 1.7 2.0
Durable goods..................... 6.0 7.3 33.6 -6.3 2.0 22.8 -8.2 -1.8
Nondurable goods.................. 2.0 3.2 3.6 7.9 -.1 1.0 5.1 6.4
Services.......................... 2.0 2.2 2.1 2.9 2.7 2.3 2.2 .7
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
r Revised.
Table 9.--Price Indexes for Personal Consumption Expenditures: Level and Percent Change From Preceding Period (Months)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sep 02 Oct 02 Nov 02 Dec 02 Jan 03/r/ Feb 03/r/ Mar 03/r/ Apr 03/p/
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Chain-type price indexes (1996=100),
seasonally adjusted
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Personal consumption expenditures... 111.59 111.79 111.86 111.95 112.13 112.66 113.06 112.81
Durable goods..................... 86.95 86.77 86.46 86.14 85.86 85.60 85.46 85.24
Nondurable goods.................. 110.17 110.30 110.27 110.19 110.53 111.74 112.26 111.31
Services.......................... 118.16 118.49 118.71 119.02 119.23 119.61 120.08 120.20
Addendum:
Personal consumption expenditures
less food and energy............. 111.12 111.24 111.32 111.42 111.41 111.55 111.66 111.72
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Percent change from preceding period
in price indexes at monthly rates
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Personal consumption expenditures... .2 .2 .1 .1 .2 .5 .3 -.2
Durable goods..................... .1 -.2 -.4 -.4 -.3 -.3 -.2 -.3
Nondurable goods.................. .2 .1 .0 -.1 .3 1.1 .5 -.9
Services.......................... .2 .3 .2 .3 .2 .3 .4 .1
Addendum:
Personal consumption expenditures
less food and energy............. .2 .1 .1 .1 .0 .1 .1 .1
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
p Preliminary.
r Revised.
Table 10.--Percent Change From Month One Year Ago in Chained (1996) Dollars for Selected Series
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sep 02 Oct 02 Nov 02 Dec 02 Jan 03/r/ Feb 03/r/ Mar 03/r/ Apr 03/p/
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disposable personal income.......... 2.7 5.6 5.7 5.3 3.1 2.4 2.2 2.4
Personal consumption expenditures... 3.7 1.9 2.7 3.4 2.9 1.9 2.4 2.4
Durable goods..................... 10.4 -4.8 .5 10.4 4.8 .6 3.9 4.2
Nondurable goods.................. 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.0 3.3 2.4 3.5 3.0
Services.......................... 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.3 2.4 2.0 1.6 1.8
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
p Preliminary.
r Revised.
Table 11.--Percent Change From Month One Year Ago in Chain-Type Price Indexes for Personal Consumption Expenditures
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sep 02 Oct 02 Nov 02 Dec 02 Jan 03/r/ Feb 03/r/ Mar 03/r/ Apr 03/p/
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Personal consumption expenditures... 2.1 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.3 2.4 1.8
Durable goods..................... -2.3 -2.4 -2.8 -3.1 -3.1 -2.5 -2.4 -2.5
Nondurable goods.................. .1 1.0 1.7 2.3 2.3 3.0 2.9 1.0
Services.......................... 4.0 2.9 2.8 3.0 2.9 2.9 3.2 3.0
Addendum:
Personal consumption expenditures
less food and energy............. 2.7 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.3
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
p Preliminary.
r Revised.
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