Papers

A variety of mathematical and statistical methods have been developed and applied by researchers to solve problems of temporal disaggregation, the process of estimating unobserved sub-annual series from observed annual values. Despite a vast body of work evaluating the ability of different… Read more

I construct a disease-based medical expenditure index for Medicare Advantage (private plan) enrollees using data from the Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey from 2001-2009. I create the indexes by modeling total health-care expenditure as a function of each respondent’s diagnoses. Total medical… Read more

Labor share has been falling since the 1970s. I show that U.S. labor share has not fallen as much once items that do not add to capital, depreciation and production taxes, are netted out. Recent net labor share is within its historical range whereas gross share is at its lowest level. This… Read more

This paper uses data from the National Science Foundation’s surveys on business research and development (R&D) expenditures that have been linked with data from the Census Bureau’s Longitudinal Business Database to produce consistent NAICS-based R&D time-series data based on the main… Read more

Health care spending in the U.S. grew two trillion dollars from 1987 to 2010, a 400% increase, but our understanding of the value of that increase is limited. In this paper we determine the net value of spending at the disease level by assigning a monetary value to changes in health outcomes and… Read more

With the comprehensive revision of the U.S. National Income and Product Accounts published in July 2013, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis introduced new accrual-based measures of income generated by defined benefit (DB) pension plans. In addition to the improved measurement, BEA introduced a… Read more

Regional Price Parities (RPPs) are spatial price indexes that measure price level differences across regions, such as states or metropolitan areas (MSAs). RPP expenditure weights, an important component in RPP estimation, are based on Consumer Expenditure (CE) Survey data from the Bureau of… Read more

On December 5, 2013, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the National Endowment for the Arts (NEA) released, for the first time, prototype estimates from the new Arts and Cultural Production Satellite Account (ACPSA). In this satellite account, we used an input-output (I-O) framework… Read more

Ongoing structural change in the U.S. economy due, in part, to globalization, the spread of information and communications technology, and the Great Recession, has reinforced the need for an up‐to‐date decomposition of aggregate GDP to industry‐level sources of growth. This approach, typically… Read more

The decade ending in 2007 was a period of rapid sourcing substitution for manufactured goods consumed in the US. Imports were substituted for local sourcing, and patterns of supply for imports changed to give a large role to new producers in emerging economies. The change in the price paid by… Read more