Latest Research

The views expressed in these papers are solely those of the authors and not necessarily those of the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis or the U.S. Department of Commerce.


Work Context and Industrial Composition Determine the Epidemiological Responses in a Multi-Group SIR Model

 

 

Key economic indicators, such as GDP and unemployment rates, provide a useful backdrop for assessing the state of the economy. However, more nuanced statistics can be of use during the COVID-19 pandemic. In this paper, we extend the domain of relevance for economic statistics by developing a… Read more

By Christopher Blackburn , Juan Moreno-Cruz
Published

Assessing Residual Seasonality in the U.S. National Income and Product Account Aggregates

 

 

There is an ongoing debate on whether residual seasonality is present in the estimates of real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in U.S. national accounts and whether it explains the slower quarter-one GDP growth rate in the recent years. This paper aims to bring clarity to this topic by 1)… Read more

By Baoline Chen, Tucker S. McElroy, Osbert C. Pang
Published

Alternative Price and Volume Measures for Commercial Bank and Fund Management Services

 

 

In the U.S. National Income and Product Accounts, commercial bank and fund management services grew modestly or declined in volume terms after 2008, despite substantial increases in the levels of assets and liabilities managed by these businesses. These estimates of limited growth result partly… Read more

By Robert Kornfeld
Published

Preliminary Estimates of the U.S. Space Economy, 2012–2018

 

 

 

 
By Tina Highfill, Annabel Jouard, Connor Franks
Published