Latest Research

The views expressed in these papers are solely those of the authors and not necessarily those of the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis or the U.S. Department of Commerce.


Quarterly Labor Input Measurement: Extending the Industry-Level Production Account to Business Cycle Frequencies

Industry-level labor input is conventionally measured annually, which averages away the sharpest movements in hours and workforce composition during rapid recessions. This paper extends the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis annual Industry-Level Production Account to a quarterly frequency for 63… Read more

By David Jang , Jon D. Samuels
Published

AI Utilization and Economic Performance

Do state-industry cells that report more intensive artificial intelligence (AI) use in 2025–2026 also exhibit stronger economic performance over 2016–2024? We combine a state-by-industry measure of worker-reported frequent AI use from the Gallup Workforce Panel with an industry-level measure of… Read more

By Christos A. Makridis, Tina Highfill, Jon D. Samuels
Published

Regional Price Parities for Health Care Services in the United States: Estimates from Commercial and Medicare Claims

This paper estimates price level inputs for health care services and incorporates them into the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis regional price parity (RPP) estimates. To do so, we use two large sources of health care claims data, covering both commercial payers and Medicare. We estimate state-… Read more

By Calvin Ackley, Kun Li, Kyle K. Hood
Published

AI Expectations and Outcomes

Evaluating the accuracy of predictions about AI use and outcomes is important given their potential influence on policy and decision making. In this paper, we study whether businesses’ expectations about their use of AI have translated into the desired outcomes. First, we use the U.S. Census… Read more

By Tina Highfill, Jon D. Samuels
Published