This page provides links to research papers and analytical presentations prepared by BEA staff. The category includes papers that might be developed into formal papers or presentations at later dates. Abstracts are presented in HTML format; complete papers are in PDF format. The views expressed in these papers are solely those of the authors and not necessarily those of the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis or the U.S. Department of Commerce.

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Working Paper

Studies on the Value of Data
BEA-WP2024-1

The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis has undertaken a series of studies that present methods for quantifying the value of simple data that can be differentiated from the complex data created by highly skilled workers that was studied in Calderón and Rassier 2022. Preliminary studies in this series focus on tax data, individual credit data, and driving data.

No
E01

Rachel Soloveichik

Published

Working Paper

The Increasing Pace of Weather-Related Cost Shocks: Should Net Domestic Product be Affected by Climate Disasters? (PDF)
WP2023-12

The monetary costs of weather and climate disasters in the U.S. grew rapidly from 1980 to 2022, rising more than five percent in real terms annually, and implying a faster depreciation of real assets. We argue that the expected depreciation from these events could be included in consumption of fixed capital, leading to lower levels, and slightly slower growth rates, of Net Domestic Product. We use Poisson pseudo-maximum-likelihood regressions to estimate this expectation and generate our experimental measure of costs.

No
C82 Q54

Brian Sliker and Leonard Nakamura

Published

Working Paper

Marketing, Other Intangibles, and Output Growth in 61 United States Industries (PDF)
WP2023-11

Experts in the System of National Accounts (SNA) recently considered whether marketing could be included as a capital asset in the national accounts and later recommended that marketing should be an intangible in the 2025 SNA (IMF, 2022; IMF, 2023). This paper contributes to that discussion by developing macroeconomic measures of marketing investments and stocks for the United States. We also construct and analyze measures of how marketing and other intangibles contribute to output growth in the 61 industries that comprise the U.S. private business sector.

No
M31 M37

Leo Sveikauskas , Rachel Soloveichik , Corby Garner , Peter B. Meyer , James Bessen , and Mathew Russell

Published

Working Paper

A Direct Measure of Medical Innovation on Health Care Spending: A Condition-Specific Approach (PDF)
WP2023-10

While technological innovation is believed to be a key driver of spending growth, measuring this relationship is challenging. We address this challenge using a large database of cost-effectiveness studies, which we use to develop proxy measures of inno- vation for specific conditions. We connect to data on spending growth at the condition level from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) Health Care Satellite Account (HCSA). We find our proxy for innovation is significantly related to spending growth, even after accounting for a number of factors.

No
E01 I10 O3

Abe C. Dunn , Lasanthi Fernando , and Eli Liebman

Published

Working Paper

Experimental Ultimate Host Economy Statistics for U.S. Direct Investment Abroad (PDF)
WP2023-9

Following international guidelines, BEA statistics on bilateral U.S. direct investment abroad are compiled and presented by immediate partner economy. While this approach is well suited for many purposes, it can lead to difficulty in interpreting direct investment statistics, especially in identifying the economies that are the ultimate destinations, or hosts, of direct investment. BEA’s initial effort to produce U.S.

No
F21 F23

Kirsten Brew , Jessica Hanson , Ricardo Limés , Ryan Smith , and Larkin Terrie

Published

Working Paper

Measuring Digital Intermediation Services: Experimental Estimates of Gross Output for Rideshare, Travel Services, and Food/Grocery Delivery Service Platforms (PDF)
WP2023-8

The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) produces economic statistics through its system of satellite accounts that highlight specialized areas of the economy that are not directly apparent in BEA’s official economic statistics published under the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS), such as outdoor recreation and arts and culture.

Digital Economy
No
E01 O4

Tina Highfill and Brian Quistorff

Published

Working Paper

Introducing Demographic Labor Market Data into the U.S. National Accounts (PDF)
WP2023-6

The U.S. gross domestic product and its foundational National Income and Product Accounts contain some of the most widely used and followed economic statistics in the world yet contain limited information on the labor market and almost no information on demographic groups. We build a new dataset that includes labor market data cross-classified by sex, age, education, and industry and integrate this into the National and Industry Economic Accounts. To overcome small sample size issues for poorly measured demographic groups, we apply small area estimation to refine the estimates.

No
E01

Jon D. Samuels

Published

Working Paper

Introducing Consumer Durable Digital Services into the BEA Digital Economy Satellite Account (PDF)
WP2023-5

Measuring the digital economy is a high priority for analysts of economic growth. We augment the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s Digital Economy Satellite Account to include digital services provided by high-tech consumer durables. We find that including the service flow from these goods raises the growth rate of the digital economy between 2005 and 2021 from 6.4 percent per year to 6.9 percent per year. Consumer durable services accounted for about 10 percent of digital economy GDP within augmented digital economy GDP.

No
D13 E01

Benjamin R. Bridgman , Tina Highfill , and Jon D. Samuels

Published