February 20, 2026

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q4 (Adv) 2025
+1.4%
Personal Income
December 2025
+0.3%
International Trade in Goods and Services
December 2025
-$70.3 B
International Transactions
Q3 2025
-$226.4 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

New FAQs Aim to Help Private Funds Determine When They Have to File a Survey to BEA for U.S. Direct Investment Abroad

| The BEA Wire

Gaining a detailed picture of the role the United States plays in the global market place is made easier by the wealth of international investment statistics produced by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.  So it’s critically important that we get the most accurate information possible from businesses, private funds, and others who fill out our BEA surveys.

Coming in July: BEA to Launch New Tools for Analyzing Economic Growth

| The BEA Wire

The Bureau of Economic Analysis plans to launch two new statistics that will serve as tools to help businesses, economists, policymakers and the American public better analyze the performance of the U.S. economy. These tools will be available on July 30 and emerge from an annual BEA process where improvements and revisions to GDP data are implemented. BEA created these two new tools in response to demand from our customers.

Average of…

BEA's Brent Moulton to Receive 2015 Julius Shiskin Award

| The BEA Wire

Brent Moulton, Associate Director for National Economic Accounts of the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), has been selected to receive the 2015 Julius Shiskin Memorial Award for Economic Statistics. The award recognizes unusually original and important contributions in the development of economic statistics or in the use of statistics in interpreting the economy.

March 2015 Trade Gap is $51.4 Billion

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit increased in March 2015 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $35.9 billion in February (revised) to $51.4 billion in March, as imports increased more than exports. The previously published February deficit was $35.4 billion. The goods deficit increased $14.9 billion from February to $70.6 billion in March. The services surplus…

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, March 2015

| News Release

U.S. Census Bureau U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis NEWS U.S. Department of Commerce * Washington, DC 20230 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN GOODS AND SERVICES March 2015 The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S.

New Data Tool Provides Fast Access to Trade and Investment Stats for Countries

| The BEA Wire

The Bureau of Economic Analysis launched today a new data tool on its website that gives users a snapshot of statistics on trade and investment between the United States and another country by simply clicking on a world map.

These fast facts at your fingertips can include:

Real Consumer Spending Rose in March

| The BEA Wire

Personal income increased less than 0.1 percent in March after rising 0.4 percent in February. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, rose 0.2 percent in March after rising 0.3 percent in February.

Current-dollar disposable personal income (DPI), after-tax income, increased less than 0.1 percent in March after rising 0.5 percent in February.

Real DPI, income adjusted for taxes and…

Personal Income and Outlays, March 2015

| News Release

Personal income increased $6.2 billion, or less than 0.1 percent, and disposable personal income (DPI) increased $1.6 billion, or less than 0.1 percent, in March, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $53.4 billion, or 0.4 percent.

GDP Up Slightly in First Quarter

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 0.2 percent in the first quarter of 2015, according to the “advance” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2014, real GDP increased 2.2 percent. In the first quarter, the dollar strengthened against major currencies, imports and exports were delayed because of labor disputes in key ports, energy prices declined, and several regions experienced severe weather…