February 20, 2026

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q4 (Adv) 2025
+1.4%
Personal Income
December 2025
+0.3%
International Trade in Goods and Services
December 2025
-$70.3 B
International Transactions
Q3 2025
-$226.4 B

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| The BEA Wire

by Cynthia Cox Kaiser Family Foundation

(This post, from the Kaiser Family Foundation, is based on BEA’s new health care statistics released earlier this year.)

Coming Soon: Webinar for BE-180 Survey Respondents

| The BEA Wire

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August 2015 Trade Gap is $48.3 Billion

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit increased in August 2015 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $41.8 billion in July (revised) to $48.3 billion in August, as exports decreased and imports increased. The previously published July deficit was $41.9 billion. The goods deficit increased $6.6 billion from July to $67.9 billion in August. The services surplus increased…

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, August 2015

| News Release

U.S. Census Bureau U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis NEWS U.S. Department of Commerce * Washington, DC 20230 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN GOODS AND SERVICES AUGUST 2015 The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S.

BEA's Factory Factoids in Honor of Manufacturing Day

| The BEA Wire

U.S. factories do their part to keep the U.S. economy humming. Did you know that manufacturing accounts for 12 percent of overall U.S. economic activity as measured by Gross Domestic Product? The Bureau of Economic Analysis produces a slew of economic statistics on how manufacturing and other U.S. industries are performing and impact the economy. Given that Oct.

State Personal Income: Second Quarter 2015

| The BEA Wire

State personal income grew 0.9 percent on average in the second quarter of 2015, after growing 0.8 percent in the first quarter. Personal income grew in every state except Oklahoma in the second quarter. In the first quarter, personal income grew in 34 states. Second-quarter personal income growth rates ranged from zero in Oklahoma to 1.5 percent in the state of Washington.

For more information, read the full report.

State Quarterly Personal Income, 1st quarter 2012 - 2nd quarter 2015; State Annual Personal Income, 2012 - 2014

| News Release

State personal income grew 0.9 percent on average in the second quarter of 2015, after growing 0.8 percent in the first quarter, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal income grew in every state except Oklahoma in the second quarter. In the first quarter, personal income grew in 34 states. Second-quarter personal income growth rates ranged from zero in Oklahoma to 1.5 percent in the state of…

Value of U.S. Liabilities Decreased More Than U.S. Assets in Second Quarter 2015

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. net international investment position was -$6,688.3 billion (preliminary) at the end of the second quarter of 2015 as the value of U.S. liabilities exceeded the value of U.S. assets. At the end of the first quarter of 2015, the net investment position was -$6,801.4 billion (revised).

U.S. International Investment Position, 2nd quarter 2015

| News Release

The U.S. net international investment position at the end of the second quarter of 2015 was -$6,688.3 billion (preliminary) as the value of U.S. liabilities exceeded the value of U.S. assets (chart 1, table 1). At the end of the first quarter, the net investment position was -$6,801.4 billion (revised).

Consumer Spending Rises in August

| The BEA Wire

Personal income increased 0.3 percent in August, after increasing 0.5 percent in July. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, rose 0.5 percent in August after rising 0.6 percent in July.

Current-dollar disposable personal income (DPI), after-tax income, increased 0.4 percent in August after increasing 0.5 percent in July.

Real DPI, income adjusted for taxes and inflation, increased 0.3…