February 20, 2026

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q4 (Adv) 2025
+1.4%
Personal Income
December 2025
+0.3%
International Trade in Goods and Services
December 2025
-$70.3 B
International Transactions
Q3 2025
-$226.4 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

State Quarterly Personal Income, 1st quarter 2014 - 1st quarter 2015

| News Release

State personal income grew 0.9 percent on average in the first quarter of 2015, after growing 1.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2014, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal income grew in 46 states and growth accelerated in 15 of those states. The fastest growth, 1.3 percent, was in Florida. Personal income fell in four states, with the largest decline, 1.2 percent, in Iowa.

Why Does BEA Revise GDP Estimates?

| The BEA Wire

Each summer, the Bureau of Economic Analysis updates its Gross Domestic Product estimates to incorporate sources of data previously unavailable and make improvements in methodology –– all with the goal of providing the most accurate measure of the U.S. economy’s performance.

First Quarter State Personal Income Statistics to be Released June 22

| The BEA Wire

Preliminary statistics on people’s incomes by state in the first quarter of 2015 will be released Monday, June 22 by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).

These state personal income statistics will provide BEA’s first look at state economies for the January-March quarter of 2015 and serve as a basis for government and business decision making. For example:

U.S. Current-Account Deficit Increases in First Quarter 2015

| The BEA Wire

The U.S. current-account deficit – a net measure of transactions between the United States and the rest of the world in goods, services, primary income (investment income and compensation), and secondary income (current transfers) – increased to $113.3 billion (preliminary) in the first quarter of 2015 from $103.1 billion (revised) in the fourth quarter of 2014. As a percentage of U.S. GDP, the deficit increased to 2.6 percent from 2.3…

U.S. International Transactions, 1st quarter 2015 and Annual Revisions

| News Release

NOTE: See the navigation bar at the right side of the news release text forimportant note about the comprehensive restructuring of the International Economic Accounts. Also see--> links to data tables, contact personnel and their telephone numbers, and supplementary materials. -->

Preview of the 2015 Annual Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts

| The BEA Wire

On July 30, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will release its annual update of the national income and product accounts (NIPAs) in conjunction with the advance estimate for the second quarter of 2015. As is usual for annual NIPA revisions, the revised estimates will incorporate newly available source data that are more complete, more detailed, and otherwise more reliable than those that were previously incorporated.

This year’s annual…

Broad Growth Across States in 2014

| The BEA Wire

Real GDP increased in 48 states and the District of Columbia in 2014. Leading industry contributors were professional, scientific, and technical services; nondurable goods manufacturing; and real estate and rental and leasing. Professional, scientific, and technical services was the largest contributor to U.S. real GDP by state growth in 2014. This industry contributed to real GDP growth in 46 states and the District of Columbia.

A Snapshot of the Seasonal Adjustment Process for GDP

| The BEA Wire

A lot of work goes into measuring a $17 trillion economy. And, at the Bureau of Economic Analysis it’s a process that never really stops.

In addition to calculating Gross Domestic Product, a key economic indicator of how the U.S. economy is faring, BEA also produces thousands of related data points each month that flow from our GDP reports and give us rich detail about consumer spending, business investment and government activity.…

Gross Domestic Product by State, Advance 2014 and Revised 1997-2013

| News Release

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased in 48 states and the District of Columbia in 2014, according to new statistics released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). Professional, scientific, and technical services; nondurable goods manufacturing; and real estate and rental and leasing were the leading contributors to real U.S. economic growth. U.S. real GDP grew 2.2 percent in 2014 after increasing 1.9 percent in 2013.

2014 GDP by State Statistics to be Released June 10

| The BEA Wire

Statistics on the 2014 economic performance of all 50 states and the District of Columbia, will be released Wednesday, June 10 at 8:30 a.m. EDT by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.