February 20, 2026

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025 and Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2025

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The contributors to the increase in real GDP in the fourth quarter were increases in consumer spending and investment. These movements were partly offset by decreases in government spending and exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2025

Personal income increased $86.2 billion (0.3 percent at a monthly rate) in December, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $75.7 billion (0.3 percent), and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $91.0 billion (0.4 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $90.2 billion in December. Personal saving was $830.8 billion in December, and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.6 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q4 (Adv) 2025
+1.4%
Personal Income
December 2025
+0.3%
International Trade in Goods and Services
December 2025
-$70.3 B
International Transactions
Q3 2025
-$226.4 B

Noteworthy

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December 2014 Trade Gap is $46.6 Billion

| The BEA Wire

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| The BEA Wire

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U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, December 2014

| News Release

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Consumer Spending Falls In December

| The BEA Wire

Personal income rose 0.3 percent in December, the same increase as in November. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, rose 0.1 percent in December after rising 0.6 percent in November.

Personal Income and Outlays, December 2014

| News Release

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GDP increases in Fourth Quarter

| The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 2.6 percent in the fourth quarter of 2014, according to the “advance” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 5.0 percent. For the full year 2014, real GDP rose 2.4 percent after rising 2.2 percent in 2013.

Fourth-quarter GDP highlights The increase in GDP in the fourth quarter reflected the following:

Gross Domestic Product, 4th quarter and annual 2014 (advance estimate)

| News Release

Real gross domestic product -- the value of the production of goods and services in the United States, adjusted for price changes -- increased at an annual rate of 2.6 percent in the fourth quarter of 2014, according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Widespread Growth Across Industries Continues in Third Quarter 2014

| The BEA Wire

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| The BEA Wire

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