April 30, 2025

Personal Income and Outlays, March 2025/ Gross Domestic Product, 1st Quarter 2025 (Advance Estimate)

Gross Domestic Product, 1st Quarter 2025 (Advance Estimate)

Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 0.3 percent in the first quarter of 2025 (January, February, and March), according to the advance estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2024, real GDP increased 2.4 percent. The decrease in real GDP in the first quarter primarily reflected an increase in imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, and a decrease in government spending. These movements were partly offset by increases in investment, consumer spending, and exports.

Personal Income and Outlays, March 2025

Personal income increased $116.8 billion (0.5 percent at a monthly rate) in March, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $102.0 billion (0.5 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $134.5 billion (0.7 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $136.6 billion in March. Personal saving was $872.3 billion in March and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.9 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q1 2025 (Adv)
-0.3%
Personal Income
March 2025
+0.5%
International Trade in Goods and Services
February 2025
-$122.7 B
International Transactions
Q4 2024
-$303.9 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

Gross Domestic Product by Industry, 4th quarter and annual 2014

April 23, 2015 | News Release

Nondurable goods manufacturing; professional, scientific, and technical services; and mining were the leading contributors to U.S. economic growth in the fourth quarter of 2014, according to statistics on the breakout of GDP by industry released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). Both the private goods- and services-producing sectors contributed to the increase, while the government sector decreased. Overall, 15 of 22 industry…

BEA Tool Allows Businesses to Estimate the Economic Impact of Disasters

April 21, 2015 | The BEA Wire

When a disaster strikes, understanding the economic impact on the affected community is a key to developing a recovery plan. BEA’s regional input-output modeling, RIMS II, provides disaster recovery officials a tool to model the impact on an affected community.

Timelier, more accurate data: the Commerce Department's statistical agencies deliver on promise of better data for better decision-making

April 2, 2015 | The BEA Wire

The Economics and Statistics Administration’s family of statistical agencies – the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and U.S. Census Bureau – are announcing an important new initiative that will lead to an acceleration of key trade data as well as improved accuracy of the advance estimate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP). GDP is widely considered the most important measure of the U.S. economy.

February 2015 Trade Gap is $35.4 Billion

April 2, 2015 | The BEA Wire

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit decreased in February 2015 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit decreased from $42.7 billion in January (revised) to $35.4 billion in February, as imports decreased more than exports. The previously published January deficit was $41.8 billion. The goods deficit decreased $7.4 billion from January to $55.2 billion in February. The services surplus…

Advance Trade Data Aim to Improve First Estimate of Quarterly GDP

April 2, 2015 | The BEA Wire

The Census Bureau’s plans to produce an advance monthly report on international trade in goods will allow the Bureau of Economic Analysis to incorporate three months of official trade data into its first estimate of quarterly Gross Domestic Product, helping to improve the accuracy of this major economic measure.

BEA Director Brian Moyer praised the move as an example of cross-agency collaboration.

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, February 2015

April 2, 2015 | News Release

U.S. Census Bureau U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis NEWS U.S. Department of Commerce * Washington, DC 20230 U.S. INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN GOODS AND SERVICES February 2015 The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S.

Value of U.S. Liabilities Increased More Than U.S. Assets in Fourth Quarter

March 31, 2015 | The BEA Wire

The U.S. net international investment position was -$6,915.3 billion (preliminary) at the end of the fourth quarter of 2014 as the value of U.S. liabilities exceeded the value of U.S. assets. At the end of the third quarter, the net position was -$6,129.4 billion (revised).

Value of U.S. Liabilities Increased More than U.S. Assets in 2014

March 31, 2015 | The BEA Wire

The U.S. net international investment position was -$6,915.3 billion (preliminary) at the end of 2014 as the value of U.S. liabilities exceeded the value of U.S. assets. At the end of 2013, the net position was -$5,383.0 billion.

U.S. International Investment Position, 4th quarter 2014

March 31, 2015 | News Release

Notice About the 2015 Annual Revision of the U.S. Net International Investment Position

The annual revision of the U.S. net international investment position will be released along with preliminary estimates for the first quarter of 2015 on June 30, 2015. An article previewing the annual revisions will appear in the April 2015 issue of the Survey of Current Business.

Personal Savings Rate Rises in February

March 30, 2015 | The BEA Wire

Personal income rose 0.4 percent in February, the same increase as in January. Wages and salaries, the largest component of personal income, rose 0.3 percent in February after rising 0.6 percent in January.

Current-dollar disposable personal income (DPI), after-tax income, rose 0.4 percent in February after rising 0.5 percent in January.

Real DPI, income adjusted for taxes and inflation, increased 0.2…