April 30, 2025

Personal Income and Outlays, March 2025/ Gross Domestic Product, 1st Quarter 2025 (Advance Estimate)

Gross Domestic Product, 1st Quarter 2025 (Advance Estimate)

Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 0.3 percent in the first quarter of 2025 (January, February, and March), according to the advance estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2024, real GDP increased 2.4 percent. The decrease in real GDP in the first quarter primarily reflected an increase in imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, and a decrease in government spending. These movements were partly offset by increases in investment, consumer spending, and exports.

Personal Income and Outlays, March 2025

Personal income increased $116.8 billion (0.5 percent at a monthly rate) in March, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $102.0 billion (0.5 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $134.5 billion (0.7 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $136.6 billion in March. Personal saving was $872.3 billion in March and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.9 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q1 2025 (Adv)
-0.3%
Personal Income
March 2025
+0.5%
International Trade in Goods and Services
February 2025
-$122.7 B
International Transactions
Q4 2024
-$303.9 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

Arts and Cultural Production Satellite Account, U.S. and States, 2022

March 25, 2024 | News Release

The Arts and Cultural Production Satellite Account released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) shows that arts and cultural economic activity, adjusted for inflation, increased 4.8 percent in 2022 after increasing 10.8 percent in 2021. By comparison, the broader economy, as measured by real gross domestic product (GDP), increased 1.9 percent in 2022 after increasing 5.8 percent in 2021. Arts and cultural economic activity…

U.S. Current-Account Deficit Narrows in 2023

March 21, 2024 | The BEA Wire

The U.S. current-account deficit, which reflects the combined balances on trade in goods and services and income flows between U.S. residents and residents of other countries, narrowed by $152.8 billion, or 15.7 percent, to $818.8 billion in 2023. The narrowing mostly reflected a reduced deficit on goods. The 2023 deficit was 3.0 percent of current-dollar gross domestic product, down from 3.8 percent in 2022.

U.S. Current-Account Deficit Narrows in 4th Quarter 2023

March 21, 2024 | The BEA Wire

The U.S. current-account deficit, which reflects the combined balances on trade in goods and services and income flows between U.S. residents and residents of other countries, narrowed by $1.6 billion, or 0.8 percent, to $194.8 billion in the fourth quarter of 2023. The narrowing primarily reflected a reduced deficit on secondary income that was mostly offset by an expanded deficit on goods. The fourth-quarter deficit was 2.8 percent of…

U.S. International Transactions, 4th Quarter and Year 2023

March 21, 2024 | News Release

The U.S. current-account deficit narrowed by $1.6 billion, or 0.8 percent, to $194.8 billion in the fourth quarter of 2023, according to statistics released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. The revised third-quarter deficit was $196.4 billion. The fourth-quarter deficit was 2.8 percent of current-dollar gross domestic product, down less than 0.1 percent from the third quarter.

Beer and the Balance of Payments

March 11, 2024 | The BEA Wire

A blog post from BEA Director Vipin Arora

Trade—what Adam Smith described as our intrinsic "propensity to truck, barter, and exchange one thing for another"—has helped to make today's world. It is hard to say how long trade has been with us, but certainly since the beginning of recorded history, and likely much longer. One of my favorite examples is beer, which was a very popular beverage in ancient Mesopotamia. As far back as…

2023 Trade Gap is $779.8 Billion

March 7, 2024 | The BEA Wire

The U.S. goods and services trade deficit decreased from $951.2 billion in 2022 to $779.8 billion in 2023 (revised), as exports increased and imports decreased. The goods deficit decreased $123.4 billion to $1,059.6 billion, and the services surplus increased $48.0 billion to $279.8 billion. The goods and services deficit was 2.9 percent of current-dollar gross domestic product in 2023, down from 3.7 percent in 2022.

January 2024 Trade Gap is $67.4 Billion

March 7, 2024 | The BEA Wire

The U.S. goods and services trade deficit increased from $64.2 billion in December (revised) to $67.4 billion in January, as imports increased more than exports. The goods deficit increased $3.0 billion to $91.6 billion, and the services surplus decreased $0.3 billion to $24.2 billion

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, January 2024

March 7, 2024 | News Release

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit increased in January 2024 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $64.2 billion in December (revised) to $67.4 billion in January, as imports increased more than exports. The goods deficit increased $3.0 billion in January to $91.6 billion. The services surplus decreased $0.3 billion in January to $24.2 billion.

Personal Income and Outlays, January 2024

February 29, 2024 | The BEA Wire

Personal income increased $233.7 billion (1.0 percent at a monthly rate) in January. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $67.6 billion (0.3 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of personal consumption expenditures (PCE), personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $54.3 billion (0.3 percent) and consumer spending increased $43.9 billion (0.2 percent). Personal…

Personal Income and Outlays, January 2024

February 29, 2024 | News Release

Personal income increased $233.7 billion (1.0 percent at a monthly rate) in January. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $67.6 billion (0.3 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of personal consumption expenditures (PCE), personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $54.3 billion (0.3 percent) and consumer spending increased $43.9 billion (0.2 percent). Personal…