April 30, 2025

Personal Income and Outlays, March 2025/ Gross Domestic Product, 1st Quarter 2025 (Advance Estimate)

Gross Domestic Product, 1st Quarter 2025 (Advance Estimate)

Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 0.3 percent in the first quarter of 2025 (January, February, and March), according to the advance estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2024, real GDP increased 2.4 percent. The decrease in real GDP in the first quarter primarily reflected an increase in imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, and a decrease in government spending. These movements were partly offset by increases in investment, consumer spending, and exports.

Personal Income and Outlays, March 2025

Personal income increased $116.8 billion (0.5 percent at a monthly rate) in March, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Disposable personal income (DPI)—personal income less personal current taxes—increased $102.0 billion (0.5 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $134.5 billion (0.7 percent). Personal outlays—the sum of PCE, personal interest payments, and personal current transfer payments—increased $136.6 billion in March. Personal saving was $872.3 billion in March and the personal saving rate—personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income—was 3.9 percent.

Principal Federal Economic Indicators

Gross Domestic Product
Q1 2025 (Adv)
-0.3%
Personal Income
March 2025
+0.5%
International Trade in Goods and Services
February 2025
-$122.7 B
International Transactions
Q4 2024
-$303.9 B

Noteworthy

The Latest

U.S. International Transactions, 3rd Quarter 2023

December 20, 2023 | News Release

The U.S. current-account deficit narrowed by $16.5 billion, or 7.6 percent, to $200.3 billion in the third quarter of 2023, according to statistics released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. The revised second-quarter deficit was $216.8 billion. The third-quarter deficit was 2.9 percent of current-dollar gross domestic product, down from 3.2 percent in the second quarter.

Real Personal Consumption Expenditures by State and Real Personal Income by State and Metropolitan Area, 2022

December 14, 2023 | The BEA Wire

Real personal consumption expenditures (PCE) by state increased in 42 states and the District of Columbia in 2022, with the percent change ranging from 5.7 percent in Alaska to –3.2 percent in New Hampshire.

Real personal income declined in 45 states and the District of Columbia in 2022, with the percent change ranging from 3.0 percent in North Dakota to –8.9 percent in Rhode Island.

Real Personal Consumption Expenditures by State and Real Personal Income by State and Metropolitan Area, 2022

December 14, 2023 | News Release

Real personal consumption expenditures (PCE) by state increased in 42 states and the District of Columbia in 2022, with the percent change ranging from 5.7 percent in Alaska to –3.2 percent in New Hampshire.

Musings from Mackinac Bridge: Three Ways to Measure Economy Offer Different Perspectives

December 11, 2023 | The BEA Wire

A blog post from BEA Director Vipin Arora

Mackinac Bridge—which connects the Upper and Lower parts of Michigan—is a marvel. So much so that I find it difficult, if not impossible, to appreciate the scale and grandeur of the bridge from just one vantage point. Driving on it, for example, offers a different experience than looking at it from nearby St. Ignace. And the view is awe inspiring from the water. We are looking at the same…

Gross Domestic Product by County and Metropolitan Area, 2022

December 7, 2023 | The BEA Wire

In 2022, real gross domestic product increased in 1,780 counties, decreased in 1,296 counties, and was unchanged in 38 counties. The percent change in real GDP ranged from 71.1 percent in Chouteau County, MT, to –57.6 percent in Kiowa County, CO.

Gross Domestic Product by County and Metropolitan Area, 2022

December 7, 2023 | News Release

In 2022, real gross domestic product (GDP) increased in 1,780 counties, decreased in 1,296 counties, and was unchanged in 38 counties. The percent change in real GDP ranged from 71.1 percent in Chouteau County, MT, to -57.6 percent in Kiowa County, CO.

October 2023 Trade Gap is $64.3 Billion

December 6, 2023 | The BEA Wire

The U.S. goods and services trade deficit increased from $61.2 billion in September (revised) to $64.3 billion in October, as exports decreased and imports increased. The goods deficit increased $3.5 billion to $89.8 billion, and the services surplus increased $0.4 billion to $25.5 billion.

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, October 2023

December 6, 2023 | News Release

The U.S. monthly international trade deficit increased in October 2023 according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and the U.S. Census Bureau. The deficit increased from $61.2 billion in September (revised) to $64.3 billion in October as exports decreased and imports increased. The goods deficit increased $3.5 billion in October to $89.8 billion. The services surplus increased $0.4 billion in October to $25.5 billion.

Gross Domestic Product by State, 2nd Quarter 2023

December 5, 2023 | The BEA Wire

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased in 44 states and the District of Columbia in the second quarter of 2023, with the percent change ranging from 8.7 percent in Wyoming to –1.9 percent in Vermont.

Gross Domestic Product by State, 2nd Quarter 2023 and Comprehensive Update

December 5, 2023 | News Release

Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased in 44 states and the District of Columbia in the second quarter of 2023, with the percent change ranging from 8.7 percent in Wyoming to –1.9 percent in Vermont.